Florida St vs Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

BetMGM Betting Oct 15, 2025, 8:07 PM

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Stanford stadium view during the third quarter of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern in Stanford, Calif., Saturday, Aug. 31, 2019.

(AP Photo/Josie Lepe)

Florida St is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Stanford
Florida State vs. Stanford Total (Over/Under): 53.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

Florida State (3-3) visit Stanford Stadium to take on Stanford (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Stanford, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.

Florida St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).

The Florida State vs. Stanford Over/Under is 53.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Stanford Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Florida State	-17.5 -115	53.5 -110	-1000
Stanford	+17.5 -105	53.5 -110	650

Florida State vs Stanford Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida St and Stanford, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

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Florida State Best Bets Today

Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.72 Units / 25% ROI)
Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.14 Units / 9% ROI)
Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Stanford Best Bets Today

Stanford has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+12.30 Units / 224% ROI)
Stanford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Stanford has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Stanford has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Stanford has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).

Florida State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -36.09% ROI
Florida State is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Florida State is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI

Stanford Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Stanford iss 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI).

Stanford is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 20% ROI
Stanford is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Stanford is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Stanford

Stanford’s TEs has gained 277 yards on 24 receptions (11.5 YPR) this season — 4th-best among ACC TEs. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 6.5 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Stanford has 340 receptions in 18 games (just 18.9 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among ACC skill players. Florida State’s defense has allowed just 17.4 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-best among ACC defenses.

Stanford Skill Players have averaged 25.9 yards per reception (285 yards/11 catches) in short yardage situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4

Stanford WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (81 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 4th-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.4

Stanford QBs have averaged just -12.0 Yards per Carry (-12 yards/1 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

Stanford: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Stanford did not record a sack (52 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.4

Stanford has one interception and 13 TD passes allowed this season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Stanford has one interception and 13 TD passes allowed this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Stanford has intercepted one of 231 attempts this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 39.2

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Stanford