Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:31 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Florida State Seminoles (6-3) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (4-5) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami Gardens.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Florida State vs. Miami (FL) is total points.

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State
Miami (FL)

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida State and Miami (FL), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Miami (FL) Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Miami (FL) players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Miami (FL) is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Miami (FL) is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Miami (FL) is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (FL)

Florida State is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2020 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Florida State is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Florida State is 3-10 (.231) when not forcing a fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .448

Miami (FL): Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Miami (FL) is winless (0-2) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Miami (FL) is 2-1 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .378

Miami (FL) is 3-9 (.231) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

Miami (FL) is 2-6 (.222) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. Miami (FL)

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

#25 Florida State QBs have 9 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#25 Florida State WRs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (182 yards/8 catches) in close and late situations this season– tied for 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.8

#25 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (272 yards/14 catches) in close and late situations this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.6

#25 Florida State WRs have averaged 22.8 yards per reception (182 yards/8 catches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

#25 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 19.4 yards per reception (272 yards/14 catches) in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) TEs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 8.1 yards per reception (364 yards/45 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 4.9 yards per reception (49 yards/10 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.5

Miami (FL) WRs have caught 16 of 22 passes (73% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

#25 Florida State has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (21/198) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#25 Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of 71% (25 completions/35 attempts) in close and late situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 4% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%

#25 Florida State has allowed first downs on 46% of pass attempts in close and late situations this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 30%

Miami (FL) Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (30/202) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (30/202) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has sacked opponents 5 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Miami (FL) has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (1,809 yards/121 completions) this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Miami (FL) has tackled opponents for a loss on 152 of 708 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.