Florida State vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:25 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The Florida State Seminoles (4-3) visit Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (5-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Raleigh.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Florida State vs. NC State is total points.

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Florida State vs. NC State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State
NC State

Florida State vs NC State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts NC State will win this game with 53% confidence.

Florida State vs NC State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predict NC State will cover the spread with 51% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida State and NC State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Florida State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ontaria Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Passing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best NC State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for NC State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devin Leary has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Devin Leary has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+8.20 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 90% ROI)

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • NC State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • NC State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • NC State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. NC State

#23 Florida State is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

#23 Florida State is 3-13 (.188) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

#23 Florida State is 5-2 (.625) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477

#23 Florida State is 5-14 (.263) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

NC State: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

#10 North Carolina State is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .623

#10 North Carolina State is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2020 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .623

Matchup Notes for Florida State vs. NC State

North Carolina State’s tight end unit has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TE corps. Florida State’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game this season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina State’s tight end unit have just 8.5 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among P5 TE corps. Florida State’s defense has allowed 238.5 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among ACC defenses.

Florida State’s backfield has rushed for 1,938 yards on 314 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida State Skill Players have averaged 17.7 yards per target (159 yards/9 targets) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.8

Florida State WRs have averaged 20.5 yards per target (123 yards/6 targets) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7.2

Florida State’s backfield has rushed for 1,938 yards on 314 carries (6.2 YPC) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among FBS backfields. North Carolina State’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2021 season — fourth-best among ACC defenses.

Florida State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 1.4 receptions (19 Rec/14 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd best Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Florida State WRs have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (164 yards/9 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.1

NC State Offensive Stats & Trends

#14 North Carolina State RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among FBS Teams

#14 North Carolina State RBs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#14 North Carolina State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

North Carolina State’s tight end unit has 5 receptions in 4 games (just 1.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 TE corps. Florida State’s defense has allowed 21.5 receptions per game this season — third-worst among ACC defenses.

#14 North Carolina State RBs have 121 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida State has allowed opponents to catch 68 of 101 passes (67% Reception Pct) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (16 completions/39 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Florida State has allowed first downs on 38% of pass attempts this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 29%

Florida State has allowed first downs on 50% of pass attempts on 3rd down this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 32%

Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (68 completions/102 attempts) this season– tied for 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

#14 North Carolina State has allowed first downs on 30% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

#14 North Carolina State has allowed a Completion Pct of 86% (6 completions/7 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

#14 North Carolina State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 4 of 572 attempts (1%) since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 2%

#14 North Carolina State has 7 interceptions this season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#14 North Carolina State has allowed first downs on 25% of pass attempts since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 31%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.