Florida vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

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Utah quarterback Cameron Rising warms up before the Pac-12 Conference championship NCAA college football game against Southern California, Friday, Dec. 2, 2022, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Steve Marcus)
(AP Photo/Steve Marcus)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 1:30 PM
  • Utah is a -4.5 point favorite vs Florida
  • Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Florida Gators visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes on Aug. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Salt Lake City.

is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().

The Florida vs. Utah Over/Under is total points.

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Florida vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida
Utah

Florida vs Utah Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Utah will win this game with 73.9% confidence.

Florida vs Utah Spread Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 72.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Florida and Utah, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Florida Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Florida players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ricky Pearsall has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Montrell Johnson Jr. has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cameron Rising has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Devaughn Vele has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)

Florida Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida went 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -40.94% ROI
  • Florida went 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Florida went 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Utah went 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 4.57% ROI
  • Utah went 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • Utah went 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI

Florida: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Florida is 3-10 (.231) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494

Florida is 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Florida is 1-10 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .380

Florida is 4-11 (.267) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .494

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Florida

#14 Utah is 10-2 (.714) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .504

#14 Utah was 6-1 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .406

#14 Utah is 10-2 (.714) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

#14 Utah is 16-6 (.640) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .463

Matchup Notes for Florida vs. Utah

Thomas Yassmin (UTH) gained 301 yards on 13 receptions (23.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — best of Qualified Pac-12 Tight Endss. Florida’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Utah gained 3,475 yards on 286 receptions (12.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 skill players. Florida’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Brant Kuithe (UTH) gained 206 yards after catch in the 2022 season — ninth-most of Qualified Pac-12 Tight Endss. Florida’s defense allowed 3,055 yards after catch in the 2022 season — fifth-most among SEC defenses.

Ricky Pearsall (FLA) gained 661 yards on 33 receptions (20.0 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best of Qualified Skill Playerss. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Ricky Pearsall (FLA) gained 646 yards after catch in the 2022 season — 10th-most of Qualified SEC Skill Playerss. Utah’s defense allowed 3,031 yards after catch in the 2022 season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Florida gained 2,910 yards on 199 receptions (14.6 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for best among SEC skill players. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends

Florida gained 2,910 yards on 199 receptions (14.6 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for best among SEC skill players. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Florida’s TEs had 30 receptions in 13 games (just 2.3 per game) in the 2022 season — fourth-worst among SEC TEs. Utah’s defense allowed just 1.9 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s WRs gained 2,429 yards on 145 receptions (16.8 YPR) in the 2022 season — best among Power 5 WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Florida’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.5% of 364 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Florida’s WRs gained 2,429 yards on 145 receptions (16.8 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among FBS WRs. Utah’s defense allowed 12.3 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah gained 3,475 yards on 286 receptions (12.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 skill players. Florida’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.

#14 Utah TEs averaged 7.9 receptions per game (111/14) in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

Utah gained 3,475 yards on 286 receptions (12.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Pac-12 skill players. Florida’s defense allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Utah’s TEs averaged 11.2 targets per game in the 2022 season — highest among P5 TEs. Florida’s defense allowed 3.9 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

#14 Utah TEs have 34 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams

Florida Gators Defensive Stats & Trends

Florida tackled opponents for a loss on just 68 of 507 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) in the 2022 season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Florida has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 66 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for 35th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Florida allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 21 carries (33%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 17%

Florida allowed first downs on 33% of rush attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 15%

Florida has averaged a sack every 11.0 pass attempts (88 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 25th-best in FBS; Average: 16.3

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

#14 Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 23 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#14 Utah tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 23 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#14 Utah did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17.2

#14 Utah has sacked opposing QBs just once on 96 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16.3

#14 Utah did not record a sack (50 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 17.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.