Fresno St vs Boise St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Boise St is a -17.5 point favorite vs. Fresno St
  • Fresno State vs. Boise State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Fresno State (5-3) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on Boise State (6-2) on Nov. 1 in Boise, ID. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The Fresno State vs. Boise State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State+17.5 -11050.5 -110650
Boise State -17.5 -11050.5 -110-1000

Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Boise St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.


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Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno St is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).

  • Fresno State is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • Fresno State is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Fresno State is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise St iss 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 55.68% ROI).

  • Boise State is 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.28% ROI
  • Boise State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Boise State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State

Boise State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State has gained 2,083 yards on 158 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 20th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 263 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State’s WRs has gained 1,420 yards on 90 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 62 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Fresno State threw 0 TDs on 42 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1

Fresno State has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Boise State

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 62 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Fresno State threw 0 TDs on 42 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1

Fresno State has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Boise State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State has gained 2,083 yards on 158 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 20th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 263 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State’s WRs has gained 1,420 yards on 90 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State has gained 2,083 yards on 158 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 20th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 263 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State’s WRs has gained 1,420 yards on 90 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 62 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Fresno State threw 0 TDs on 42 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1

Fresno State has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-30th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 RAC since the 2024 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State has gained 2,083 yards on 158 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — 20th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.2% of 263 attempts this season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

Boise State RBs averaged 222.9 rushing yards per game (3,120/14) last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Boise State’s WRs has gained 1,420 yards on 90 receptions (15.8 YPR) this season — T-11th-best among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 62 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4

Fresno State threw 0 TDs on 42 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) last week– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.1

Fresno State has averaged just 10.4 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-8th-worst among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State’s WRs has averaged just 12.1 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC since the 2024 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Fresno State had no touchdowns on 20 receptions last week– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.6


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