Fresno St vs Colorado St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Colorado State coach Jay Norvell watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Air Force on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022, at Air Force Academy, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Fresno St is a -6.5 point favorite vs. Colorado St
  • Fresno State vs. Colorado State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Fresno State (5-1) visit Canvas Stadium to take on Colorado State (1-4) on Oct. 10 in Fort Collins, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT.

Fresno St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).

The Fresno State vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Fresno State vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State-6.5 -11848.5 -110-250
Colorado State +6.5 -10248.5 -110200

Fresno State vs Colorado State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Colorado St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Fresno State vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno St is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.08% ROI).

  • Fresno State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 32.43% ROI
  • Fresno State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Fresno State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St iss 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Colorado State is 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -100% ROI
  • Colorado State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Colorado State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado State

Colorado State has gained 944 yards on 90 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 154 attempts this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs has gained 613 yards on 56 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

Fresno State RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 7 times in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 14 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs averaged 94.5 rushing yards per game (1,228/13) last season– T-22nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Colorado State

Fresno State RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 7 times in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 14 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs averaged 94.5 rushing yards per game (1,228/13) last season– T-22nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Colorado State has gained 944 yards on 90 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 154 attempts this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs has gained 613 yards on 56 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has gained 944 yards on 90 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 154 attempts this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs has gained 613 yards on 56 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 7 times in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 14 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs averaged 94.5 rushing yards per game (1,228/13) last season– T-22nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado State has gained 944 yards on 90 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 154 attempts this season — 9th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s WRs has gained 613 yards on 56 receptions (just 10.9 YPR) this season — T-15th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.

Colorado State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 9.0% of 544 attempts since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2024 season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State RBs have 6 receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State have thrown 0 TDs on 28 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 18.9

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 7 times in the Red Zone this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs have been targeted 14 times in the 1st quarter this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Fresno State RBs averaged 94.5 rushing yards per game (1,228/13) last season– T-22nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 125.9


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