- Oregon St is a -3 point favorite vs. Fresno St
- Fresno State vs. Oregon State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: CW
Fresno State (1-1) visit Reser Stadium to take on Oregon State (0-1) on Sep. 6 in Corvallis, OR. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Oregon St is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Fresno State vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | +3 -105 | 47.5 -110 | +125 |
| Oregon State | -3 -115 | 47.5 -110 | -150 |
Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 54.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno St and Oregon St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs Oregon State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+0.80 Units / 8% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon St iss 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Oregon State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Oregon State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Oregon State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
Fresno State was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards in the 2024 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .380
Fresno State was undefeated (7-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays in the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586
Fresno State was 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2024 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .528
Fresno State was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .532
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Oregon State was 2-6 (.250) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2024 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .454
Oregon State was 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2024 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .464
Oregon State was 1-5 (.167) when not forcing and recovering a fumble in the 2024 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .459
Oregon State was 2-5 (.286) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2024 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .577
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Oregon State
Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 54 yards on 18 carries (just 3.0 YPC) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense have allowed 4.9 YPC this season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s RBs has rushed for 54 yards on 18 carries (just 3.0 YPC) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense have allowed 5.5 YPC to RBs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Trent Walker (ORST) has 9 receptions this season — T-8th-most of Qualified Wide Receiver. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 26 receptions to WRs this season — 4th-most among FBS defenses.
There are no matchup notes available for this game
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State Skill Players have no touchdowns on 38 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Fresno State RBs have been targeted 5 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State RBs have been targeted 7 times in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams
Fresno State Skill Players have been targeted 19 times in the 1st quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Fresno State RBs have been targeted 17 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2024 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) in the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Oregon State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 34.0 receptions (238 Rec/7 TDs) since the 2024 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down in the 2024 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed 4 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State has allowed 5 TD passes this season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Fresno State has allowed 5 TD passes this season– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 37 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.
Fresno State allowed 14 rushing TDs on 96 carries (6.9 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4
Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.6
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) in the 2024 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) in the 2024 season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Oregon State did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.2
Oregon State has not recorded a sack (30 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4
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