- Fresno State is a -3 point favorite vs. Arizona St.
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Tempe.
Fresno State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Fresno State vs. Arizona St. Over/Under is 49 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Arizona St. Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | -3 -110 | 49 -110 | -155 |
| Arizona St. | +3 -110 | 49 -110 | +130 |
Fresno State vs Arizona St. Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 54.7% confidence.
Fresno State vs Arizona St. Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 74.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and Arizona St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Arizona St. Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Arizona State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Arizona St. Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona St. players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Elijhah Badger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Fresno State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 155% ROI
- Fresno State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Fresno State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Arizona St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arizona St. is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Arizona St. is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Arizona St. is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Arizona St. is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona St.
Fresno State is 12-2 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .444
Fresno State is 11-5 (.688) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .382
Fresno State is 7-2 (.778) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .441
Fresno State is 16-3 (.762) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .520
Arizona St.: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Arizona State is winless (0-6) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .354
Arizona State is 2-4 (.333) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494
Arizona State is 2-12 (.133) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .381
Arizona State is 2-12 (.133) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .325
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Arizona St.
Arizona State’s WRs have just 129.5 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 209.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs have just 129.5 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 209.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s RBs has 55 receptions in 14 games (3.9 per game) since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 611 passing yards in 2 games (305.5 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 172.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 594 passing yards in 2 games (297.0 YPG) this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 172.5 passing yards per game this season — tied for 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs have 239.5 receiving yards per game this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 165.0 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 611 passing yards in 2 games (305.5 YPG) this season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 172.5 passing yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s offense has thrown for 594 passing yards in 2 games (297.0 YPG) this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 172.5 passing yards per game this season — tied for 29th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs have 239.5 receiving yards per game this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 165.0 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have 297.0 receiving yards per game this season — 30th-best among FBS skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 165.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs have 239.5 receiving yards per game this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 165.0 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Arizona St. Offensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State’s WRs have just 129.5 receiving yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 209.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State’s WRs have just 129.5 receiving yards per game this season — third-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 209.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arizona State RBs have carried the ball 14 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arizona State’s RBs has 55 receptions in 14 games (3.9 per game) since the 2022 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Arizona State Skill Players averaged just 9.2 yards per reception (397 yards/43 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (488 completions/913 attempts) since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 61%
Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (193 completions/361 attempts) in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 52% (130 completions/251 attempts) in the 1st half since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 62%
Fresno State has not sacked an opposing QB in 1 games this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0
Fresno State allowed a passer rating of just 115.1 (361.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 133.8
Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends
Arizona State allowed 26 rushing TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd most in FBS
Arizona State tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 75 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 5th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Arizona State have yet to sack an opposing QBs (18 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6%
Arizona State allowed 35 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 2.1
Arizona State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 2 of 66 attempts (3%) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 10%
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