Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:16 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Fresno State Bulldogs (2-4) visit Albertsons Stadium to take on the Boise State Broncos (4-2) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in Boise.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Fresno State vs. Boise State is total points.

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Fresno State vs. Boise State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Fresno State
Boise State

Fresno State vs Boise State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 59.6% confidence.

Fresno State vs Boise State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boise State will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and Boise State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Boise State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boise State players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • George Holani has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Fresno State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Fresno State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Fresno State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boise State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Boise State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Boise State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Boise State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

Boise State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .280

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State RBs have averaged 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (310 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Fresno State RBs have not rushed for a 0 TD on 77 carries (inf Carries Per TD) in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 23.9

Fresno State Skill Players have 2,878 receiving yards on 1st down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Fresno State Skill Players have picked up first downs on 104 receptions on 1st down since last season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Fresno State QBs have 46 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends

Boise State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have 80 receiving yards in close and late situations this season– 4th most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have 10 receptions in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have been targeted 4 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Boise State RBs have picked up first downs on 6 receptions on 3rd down this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Fresno State has no interceptions (118 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 35.4

Fresno State has no interceptions (118 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.0

Fresno State has no interceptions and 5 TD passes allowed this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (8 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 63%

Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Boise State has not recorded a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

Boise State opponents has averaged 7.2 Passing Attempts per TD (43 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

Boise State has allowed a passer rating of just 99.7 in the Red Zone (43.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 170.5

Boise State has not recorded a sack (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Boise State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 48% (51 completions/107 attempts) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 60%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.