- Purdue is a -4.5 point favorite vs Fresno State
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch the game on BTN
The Fresno State Bulldogs visit Ross-Ade Stadium to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in West Lafayette.
– is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().
The Fresno State vs. Purdue Over/Under is total points.
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Fresno State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | |||
| Purdue |
Fresno State vs Purdue Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 70.8% confidence.
Fresno State vs Purdue Spread Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Fresno State and Purdue, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Purdue Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Fresno State went 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -12.42% ROI
- Fresno State went 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 2.44% ROI
- Fresno State went 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).
- Purdue went 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 9.72% ROI
- Purdue went 9-5 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
- Purdue went 5-9 when betting the Under for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Fresno State is 12-2 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .449
Fresno State is 17-2 (.810) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .519
Fresno State is 14-3 (.737) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .504
Fresno State is 7-2 (.778) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .494
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Purdue is 13-3 (.812) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .494
Purdue is 12-8 (.545) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410
Purdue is 12-3 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .624
Purdue is 6-1 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .461
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Purdue
Purdue’s TEs had 69 receptions in 14 games (4.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s QBs threw for 4,067 passing yards in 14 games (290.5 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 202.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 8,514 passing yards in 27 games (315.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 218.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s RBs averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Purdue’s defense allowed 13.2 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 3,782 passing yards in 14 games (270.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 238.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs had 235.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Purdue’s defense allowed 224.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s RBs averaged just 6.2 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS RBs. Purdue’s defense allowed 13.2 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 3,782 passing yards in 14 games (270.1 YPG) in the 2022 season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 238.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs had 235.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Purdue’s defense allowed 224.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Fresno State’s QBs threw for 4,024 passing yards in 14 games (287.4 YPG) in the 2022 season — 27th-best among FBS teams. Purdue’s defense allowed 238.2 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs had 235.9 receiving yards per game in the 2022 season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. Purdue’s defense allowed just 149.3 receiving yards per game to WRs in the 2022 season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue’s TEs had 69 receptions in 14 games (4.9 per game) in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 2.6 receptions per game to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s QBs threw for 4,067 passing yards in 14 games (290.5 YPG) in the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 202.5 passing yards per game in the 2022 season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s offense has thrown for 8,514 passing yards in 27 games (315.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 218.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 8,895 passing yards in 27 games (329.4 YPG) since the 2021 season — sixth-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 218.9 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 141 receptions in 27 games (5.2 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 2.5 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (14 completions/33 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 63%
Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (232 completions/431 attempts) in the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: 60%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (444 completions/837 attempts) since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 61%
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (62 completions/135 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%
Fresno State has tackled opponents for a loss on 25 of 142 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 37 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.
Purdue tackled opponents for a loss on just 52 of 477 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
Purdue has allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%
Purdue has tackled opponents for a loss on just 128 of 961 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) since the 2021 season– tied for 21st-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Purdue has tackled opponents for a loss on just 6 of 81 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for 28th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
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