- The Fresno State Bulldogs are a -6.5 point favorite vs. the San Jose State Spartans
- Fresno State vs. San Jose State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
Fresno State (1-1) visit CEFCU Stadium to take on San Jose State (2-1) on Sep. 19 in San Jose, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00 pm.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Fresno State vs. San Jose State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. San Jose State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | -6.5 -115 | 50.5 -110 | -250 |
| San Jose State | +6.5 -105 | 50.5 -108 | +210 |
Fresno State vs San Jose State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Fresno State Bulldogs and the San Jose State Spartans, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs San Jose State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Fresno State Best Bets Today
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
San Jose State Best Bets Today
- San José State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- San José State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+0.75 Units / 2% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State Bulldogs is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
San Jose State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Jose State Spartans is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- San Jose State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
- San Jose State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. San Jose State
Fresno State was 1-5 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-24th-worst in FBS; Average: .379
Fresno State was 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .526
Fresno State was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Fresno State was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
San Jose State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-9th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388
San Jose State was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429
San Jose State was 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .602
San Jose State was 8-5 (.615) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .442
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. San Jose State
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s QBs threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s TEs gained 495 yards on 45 receptions (11.0 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 TEs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State’s QBs threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS teams. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. San Jose State’s defense allowed 245.2 passing yards per game last season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (23 Rec/6 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.1
Fresno State’s TEs gained 495 yards on 45 receptions (11.0 YPR) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 TEs. San Jose State’s defense allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Fresno State threw 6 TDs on 43 pass attempts (one TD every 7.2 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-8th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7
San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Jose State’s offense threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among FBS defenses.
San Jose State’s QBs threw for 3,398 passing yards in 12 games (283.2 YPG) last season — 13th-best among FBS teams. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 153.8 passing yards per game last season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
San Jose State’s RBs averaged just 4.9 yards after the catch last season — 6th-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Fresno State had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.0
Fresno State allowed 9 rushing TDs on 422 carries (46.9 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.1
Fresno State allowed a Completion Pct of 77% (20 completions/26 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Fresno State averaged 1.54 interceptions per game (20/13) last season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: 0.80
San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 45 of 469 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) last season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
San Jose State tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 93 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14%.
San Jose State had 21 interceptions last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams
San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– T-best in FBS; Average: 18%
San Jose State did not allow an opponent to rush for 10 or more yards on any of their 22 carries on 3rd and long last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19%
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