- The Washington State Cougars are a -2.5 point favorite vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs
- Fresno State vs. Washington State Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
- TV Channel: USA
Fresno State (3-1) visit Gesa Field at Martin Stadium to take on Washington State (1-3) on Oct. 3 in Pullman, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm.
The Washington State Cougars are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-108).
The Fresno State vs. Washington State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Fresno State vs. Washington State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Fresno State | +2.5 -110 | 45.5 -108 | +105 |
| Washington State | -2.5 -108 | 45.5 -110 | -130 |
Fresno State vs Washington State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Washington State will win this game with 50.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Fresno State Bulldogs and the Washington State Cougars, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Fresno State vs Washington State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington State will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Fresno State Best Bets Today
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Washington State Best Bets Today
- Washington State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+12.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- Washington State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+9.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- Washington State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Washington State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Washington State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State Bulldogs is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Fresno State is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.08% ROI
- Fresno State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Fresno State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Washington State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington State Cougars is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Washington State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Washington State is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. Washington State
Fresno State is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2024 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .633
Fresno State was 1-4 (.200) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .536
Fresno State is 7-2 (.778) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2024 season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .565
Fresno State was 6-2 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .575
Washington State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
Washington State is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2024 season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .339
Washington State is 2-5 (.286) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .461
Washington State was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Washington State was 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times in the 2023 season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .579
Matchup Notes for Fresno State vs. Washington State
Washington State’s WRs averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s WRs averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Washington State’s WRs had 174 receptions in 13 games (13.4 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 15.2 receptions per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 373 attempts last season — T-14th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense allowed just 174.4 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs gained 1,437 yards on 128 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State have thrown 2 TDs on 99 pass attempts (one TD every 49.5 Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– T-10th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.0
Fresno State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.5% of 373 attempts last season — T-14th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s offense threw for 2,384 passing yards in 13 games (just 183.4 YPG) last season — 26th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington State’s defense allowed just 174.4 passing yards per game last season — 3rd-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State’s WRs gained 1,437 yards on 128 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Washington State’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Fresno State has not scored on any of their 13 drive in the 1st quarter this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 23%
Washington State Offensive Stats & Trends
Washington State’s WRs averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s WRs averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.0 RAC last season — 4th-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Washington State’s WRs had 174 receptions in 13 games (13.4 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 15.2 receptions per game last season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s WRs had 174 receptions in 13 games (13.4 per game) last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 WRs. Fresno State’s defense allowed just 10.2 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington State’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.3% of 408 attempts last season — T-25th-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
Fresno State has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8.4
Fresno State has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.4
Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of 76% (25 completions/33 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%
Fresno State has averaged 1.53 interceptions per game (26/17) since the 2024 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.79
Fresno State allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Washington State Defensive Stats & Trends
Washington State allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-2nd-most in FBS
Washington State has not forced a fumble (140 carries) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 43.4
Washington State allowed 4 TD passes last week– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Washington State has not forced a fumble (140 carries) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 45.2
Washington State tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 29 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.
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