- The Georgia is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Alabama
- The Georgia vs. Alabama Total(Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The Georgia Bulldogs (3-0) visit Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (3-0) on Sep. 28 in Tuscaloosa, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
Georgia is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Georgia vs. Alabama Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Georgia vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia | -1.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -125 |
| Alabama | +1.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +105 |
Georgia vs Alabama Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia and Alabama, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia vs Alabama Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Georgia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.80 Units / 1% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Player Prop Bets Today
- Carson Beck has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 away games (+2.45 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dominic Lovett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Carson Beck has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Arian Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Dillon Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Alabama players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Milroe has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Alabama is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Alabama
Georgia is undefeated (9-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: .445
Georgia is undefeated (15-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .703
Georgia is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .457
Georgia is undefeated (11-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604
Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia
Alabama is undefeated (7-0) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .507
Alabama is undefeated (12-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .633
Alabama is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .745
Alabama is 9-1 (.900) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Alabama
Alabama’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 66 attempts this season — T-9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 1.6% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Alabama has gained 686 yards on 44 receptions (15.6 YPR) this season — T-9th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among FBS defenses.
Alabama has 44 receptions in 3 games (just 14.7 per game) this season — 23rd-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia’s defense has allowed just 12.3 receptions per game this season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 94 attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 0.9% of attempts this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia WRs have no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.7
Georgia TEs have 7 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.8% of 94 attempts this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 0.9% of attempts this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia TEs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most among Power Conference Teams
Georgia RBs have averaged 8.5 Yards per Carry (611 yards/72 carries) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0
Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 23.1 yards per reception (761 yards/33 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9
Alabama WRs have averaged 57.5 yards per reception (115 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 18.0
Alabama QBs have 22 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Alabama WRs have averaged 30.4 yards per reception (609 yards/20 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.7
Alabama Skill Players have averaged 21.9 yards per reception (986 yards/45 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 13.5
Georgia Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia has allowed no passing TDs (64 pass attempts) this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 22.6
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 6 rushing attempts (50% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 16%.
Georgia has tackled opponents for a loss on 3 of 6 rushing attempts (50% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.
Georgia has allowed no passing TDs (64 pass attempts) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 31.5
Georgia has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 108 rushes this season– T-best in FBS; Average: 25.7
Alabama Crimson Tide Defensive Stats & Trends
Alabama has allowed just 6.2 yards per completion (347 yards/56 completions) this season– best in the SEC; Average: 10.3
Alabama has allowed just 6.2 yards per completion (347 yards/56 completions) this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0
Alabama has allowed just 10.0 yards per completion (3,022 yards/301 completions) since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 11.4
Alabama has allowed just 6.2 yards per completion (347 yards/56 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 11.4
Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 107 attempts (1%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%
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