Georgia vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Georgia Bulldogs are a -25 point favorite vs. the Arkansas Razorbacks
• Georgia vs. Arkansas Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
• TV Channel: ABC

Georgia (2-0) visit Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium to take on Arkansas (1-1) on Sep. 19 in Fayetteville, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Georgia Bulldogs are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -25 (-110).

The Georgia vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Georgia vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Georgia vs Arkansas Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia will win this game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Georgia Bulldogs and the Arkansas Razorbacks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Georgia Best Bets Today

• Georgia has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Georgia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 0% ROI)

Arkansas Best Bets Today

• Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 37% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Georgia Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Bulldogs is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

• Georgia is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Georgia is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Georgia is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas Razorbacks is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

• Arkansas is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• Arkansas is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Arkansas is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Georgia: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Georgia was undefeated (8-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .420

Georgia was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647

Georgia was 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632

Georgia was 8-1 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia

Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Arkansas was 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .523

Arkansas was 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .668

Arkansas was 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .582

Matchup Notes for Georgia vs. Arkansas

Arkansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 381 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Arkansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 381 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas’s TEs had 7 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-most among SEC TEs. Georgia’s defense allowed 14 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-fewest among SEC defenses.

Georgia’s TEs gained 545 yards on 43 receptions (12.7 YPR) last season — 4th-best among SEC TEs. Arkansas’s defense allowed 13.5 Yards Per Reception last season — T-3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Georgia’s TEs had 43 receptions in 14 games (just 3.1 per game) last season — 3rd-worst among SEC TEs. Arkansas’s defense allowed just 17.8 receptions per game last season — T-5th-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia had just 220.4 receiving yards per game last season — 5th-worst among SEC skill players. Arkansas’s defense allowed 239.2 receiving yards per game last season — 4th-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Skill Players caught 5 touchdown passes last week– most among SEC Teams

Georgia WRs caught 50 of 61 passes(82% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 60%

Georgia TEs averaged 30.0 yards per reception (60 yards/2 catches) with over 10 yards to go last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.4

Georgia Skill Players caught 45 of 53 passes(85% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 62%

Georgia threw for 5 TDs in the 1st half last week– T-most among FBS Offenses

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.1

Arkansas TEs averaged 19.2 yards per reception (844 yards/44 catches) last season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 11.7

Arkansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 381 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-3rd-best among SEC defenses.

Arkansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.6% of 381 attempts last season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.9% of attempts last season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Arkansas TEs averaged 22.1 yards per reception (642 yards/29 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.6

Georgia Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in FBS; Average: 14%.

Georgia tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 66 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 16%.

Georgia averaged a sack every 22.9 pass attempts (458 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 13.1

Georgia allowed 79.6 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 140.7

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas had no interceptions and 11 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the SEC; Average: 5.8

Arkansas allowed passes of 20+ yards on 49 of 339 attempts (14%) last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 9%

Arkansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 34 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the SEC; Average: 11%.

Arkansas allowed passes of 20+ yards on 49 of 339 attempts (14%) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Arkansas allowed 6 TDs in the Red Zone last week– most in the SEC

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