- Arkansas St is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
- Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN+
Georgia Southern (3-4) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on Arkansas State (3-4) on Oct. 25 in Jonesboro, AR. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Arkansas St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.
Bet now on Arkansas St vs Georgia Southern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia Southern | +1.5 -105 | 62.5 -110 | 100 |
| Arkansas State | -1.5 -115 | 62.5 -110 | -120 |
Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this game with 53.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Arkansas St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Arkansas St vs Georgia Southern and all games with BetMGM
Georgia Southern Best Bets Today
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Arkansas State Best Bets Today
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -3.76% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas St iss 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Arkansas State is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 22.92% ROI
- Arkansas State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Arkansas State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas State
Arkansas State has 450 receptions in 20 games (22.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State have one interception on 169 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.4
Arkansas State QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern
Arkansas State was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Arkansas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Arkansas State is 9-8 (.529) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407
Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas State
Arkansas State was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Arkansas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Arkansas State is 9-8 (.529) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407
Arkansas State has 450 receptions in 20 games (22.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State have one interception on 169 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.4
Arkansas State QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State has 450 receptions in 20 games (22.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State have one interception on 169 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.4
Arkansas State QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Arkansas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Arkansas State is 9-8 (.529) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407
Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State has 450 receptions in 20 games (22.5 per game) since the 2024 season — 25th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game this season — 17th-highest among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Arkansas State have one interception on 169 attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– 2nd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 30.4
Arkansas State QBs have 7 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas State was 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .604
Arkansas State was 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Arkansas State was 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Arkansas State is 9-8 (.529) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .407
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