- The Georgia State is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
- The Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Total(Over/Under): 58.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPNU
The Georgia Southern Eagles (2-2) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (2-1) on Sep. 28 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Georgia State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Over/Under is 58.5 total points.
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Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Georgia Southern | +3.5 -115 | 58.5 -110 | +140 |
| Georgia State | -3.5 -105 | 58.5 -110 | -165 |
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 54.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Georgia State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 72.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Georgia State vs Georgia Southern and all games with BetMGM
Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Georgia State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.35 Units / 6% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Freddie Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Cadarrius Thompson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tailique Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ahmon Green has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 68.18% ROI).
Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State
Georgia Southern is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .487
Georgia Southern is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Georgia Southern is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: .507
Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572
Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern
Georgia State is 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .463
Georgia State is 1-4 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .393
Georgia State is 8-2 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-best in FBS; Average: .656
Georgia State is 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385
Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
Georgia State’s RBs has 12 receptions in 3 games (4.0 per game) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia State has 71 receptions in 3 games (23.7 per game) this season — T-24th-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 23.0 receptions per game this season — T-13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 144 attempts this season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Jalen White (GSO) has averaged a TD every 7.6 carries this season — 7th-best of Qualified Running Back. Georgia State’s defense allowed a touchdown every just 16 carries this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 144 attempts this season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.6% of attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 40.9 times per game (696/17) since the 2023 season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.4
Georgia Southern Skill Players averaged 28.9 receptions per game (376/13) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Georgia Southern TEs have 18 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern Skill Players have averaged 27.5 receptions per game (467/17) since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State QBs have rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have been targeted 6 times in close and late situations this season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State RBs have rushed for one TD on 86 carries this season– 10th-worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Georgia State RBs have picked up first downs on 4 receptions on 3rd down this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Georgia State QBs rushed for 8 TDs in the 1st quarter in the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia Southern has averaged a sack every 45.7 pass attempts (137 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (3/137) this season– T-5th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Georgia Southern has allowed 518.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 347.8
Georgia Southern has allowed 518.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 387.3
Georgia Southern defense allowed 7 completions for 20 or more yards last week– T-2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams
Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 91% (19 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%
Georgia State has tackled opponents for a loss on 5 of 33 rushing attempts (15% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
Georgia State has allowed 274.8 Passing Yards per game (4,396/16) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 219.3
Georgia State has allowed 36 TD passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-most in FBS
Georgia State has allowed a Completion Pct of 91% (19 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 62%
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