Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 1:42 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ESPN3

The Georgia Southern Eagles (4-3) visit Center Parc Stadium to take on the Georgia State Panthers (2-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT in Atlanta.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State is total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern
Georgia State

Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Georgia State will win this game with 50.8% confidence.

Georgia Southern vs Georgia State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia State will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Georgia State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+10.10 Units / 157% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 27% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia Southern are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Georgia Southern are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Georgia Southern are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia State are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Georgia State are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Georgia State are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

Georgia Southern is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State

Georgia State’s offense has 1,071 rushing yards this season — third-most among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 933 rushing yards this season — fifth-most among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern’s backfield has been targeted 125 times since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS backfields. Georgia State’s defense has allowed 4,596 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fifth-most among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern RBs have been targeted 18 times on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have 12 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have been targeted 26 times with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have picked up first downs on 20 receptions on 1st down since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (15 yards/6 catches) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 8.4

Georgia State WRs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have been targeted 0.2 times per game (1/5) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Georgia State WRs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Georgia Southern has forced one fumble on 165 carries this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 40.0

Georgia Southern has forced one fumble on 165 carries this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 38.6

Georgia Southern has allowed 222.7 receiving yards per game (3,786/17) to WRs since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 166.5

Georgia Southern has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (31 completions/47 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Georgia State has sacked opponents 8 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Georgia State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 10% of PATs since last season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Georgia State has averaged a sack every 6.6 pass attempts (53 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8

Georgia State has averaged a sack every 6.6 pass attempts (53 Pass Attempts/8 Sacks) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 16.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.