Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are a -3.5 point favorite vs. the Georgia Southern Eagles
• Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Georgia Southern (1-1) visit AmFirst Stadium to take on Jacksonville State (1-2) on Sep. 19 in Jacksonville, AL. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm.

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 57.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Georgia Southern Eagles and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Georgia Southern Best Bets Today

• Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.59 Units / 6% ROI)
• Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 54% ROI)

Jacksonville State Best Bets Today

• Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jacksonville State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jacksonville State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern Eagles is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

• Georgia Southern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Georgia Southern is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
• Georgia Southern is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI).

• Jacksonville State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -4.76% ROI
• Jacksonville State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Jacksonville State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Georgia Southern was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Georgia Southern was 8-3 (.727) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .584

Georgia Southern was 7-4 (.636) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Georgia Southern was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Jacksonville State was 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-26th-best in FBS; Average: .632

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State’s offense threw for 2,268 passing yards in 14 games (just 162.0 YPG) last season — 16th-worst among FBS offenses. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 238.8 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s WRs had just 112.1 receiving yards per game last season — 19th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 184.1 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Jacksonville State’s QBs threw for 2,245 passing yards in 14 games (just 160.4 YPG) last season — 17th-worst among FBS teams. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 238.8 passing yards per game last season — 34th-worst among FBS defenses.

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern Skill Players were targeted 19 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs averaged just 1.9 Yards per Carry (19 yards/10 carries) last week– T-3rd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Georgia Southern have thrown 26 TDs and no interceptions in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 9.9

Georgia Southern RBs rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern WRs averaged 15.8 receptions per game (205/13) last season– 18th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 6.3 receptions (19 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Jacksonville State threw 3 TDs on 37 pass attempts (one TD every 12.3 Pass Attempts) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 3.7

Jacksonville State threw one TD on 74 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 9th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9

Jacksonville State averaged a touchdown every 6.3 receptions (19 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.1

Jacksonville State RBs rushed for 6 TDs in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern averaged a sack every 34.5 pass attempts (414 Pass Attempts/12 Sacks) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Georgia Southern allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 33 of their 499 carries (7%) last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Georgia Southern sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (12/414) last season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 102 of 499 carries (20%) last season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 33 of their 499 carries (7%) last season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Jacksonville State allowed 14 TDs in close and late situations last season– most in FBS

Jacksonville State allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations last season– 2nd-most in FBS

Jacksonville State allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Jacksonville State allowed 2.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (281 yards / 105 touches) in the Red Zone last season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 3.7

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