Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 10, 2022, 5:30 PM
  • Louisiana (4-5) are -3.5 point favorites vs Georgia Southern (5-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 61.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Georgia Southern Eagles (5-6) visit Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (5-6) on Nov. 10. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Lafayette.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Georgia Southern vs. Louisiana is total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

  Spread Total (O/U) Moneyline
Georgia Southern
Louisiana

Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 55% confidence.

Georgia Southern vs Louisiana Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 52% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Louisiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


 

  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+12.95 Units / 124% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)

 

 

  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)

 

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.95 Units / 123.92% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Louisiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Louisiana is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -7.04% ROI
  • Louisiana is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Louisiana is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana

Georgia Southern is 2-15 (.118) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2020 season– 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .367

Louisiana: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Louisiana is 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .378

Louisiana is 12-2 (.800) when not losing a fumble — tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .507

Louisiana is 14-2 (.875) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– best in FBS; Average: .493

Louisiana is 15-3 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .492

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern RBs have been targeted 4.7 times per game (94/20) in the 2nd half since last season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Georgia Southern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.5 receptions (247 Rec/11 TDs) since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Georgia Southern RBs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have picked up first downs on 15 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern RBs have picked up first downs on 33 receptions this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana RBs have rushed for 17 TDs in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Louisiana TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Louisiana TEs have been targeted 11 times in short yardage situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Louisiana Kickers have kicked off 0.0 times per game this season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Louisiana TEs have 14 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern opponents has averaged 9.2 Passing Attempts per TD (37 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.8

Georgia Southern has allowed 9 TDs in close and late situations this season– most in FBS

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 22 of their 337 carries (7%) this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3%

Georgia Southern has allowed 225.6 receiving yards per game (4,738/21) to WRs since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 167.4

Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 64 of 337 carries (19%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs this season– highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 5%

Louisiana has no interceptions (45 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.3

Louisiana’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 10% of PATs since last season– 2nd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Louisiana has 13 interceptions this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Louisiana’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 19% of PATs this season– 3rd highest in FBS; Average: 6%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.