Georgia Southern vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 2

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Nevada quarterback Brendon Lewis (2) in the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Fort Collins, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • Georgia Southern is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Nevada
  • Georgia Southern vs. Nevada Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: truTV

The Georgia Southern Eagles (0-1) visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-1) on Sep. 7 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.

Georgia Southern is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Georgia Southern vs. Nevada Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern-1.5 -10557.5 -110-115
Nevada +1.5 -11557.5 -110-105

Georgia Southern vs Nevada Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Georgia Southern will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Georgia Southern vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 72.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Nevada and key player performances this season.


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  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Bets Today

  • Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen White has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nevada Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nevada is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 93.02% ROI).

  • Nevada is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 77.5% ROI
  • Nevada is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Nevada is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada

Georgia Southern was 3-1 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team in the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Georgia Southern is 4-10 (.267) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .393

Georgia Southern is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

Georgia Southern is 6-4 (.600) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .496

Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

Nevada was winless (0-4) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Nevada is 5-15 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Nevada is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .395

Nevada is 3-16 (.158) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Nevada

Nevada’s RBs rushed for 705 yards on 212 carries (just 3.3 YPC) last season — 2nd-worst among FBS RBs. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Sean Dollars (NEV) rushed for 527 yards on 151 carries (just 3.5 YPC) last season — 2nd-worst of Qualified Running Back. Georgia Southern’s defense allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s QBs threw for 3,903 passing yards in 13 games (300.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Nevada’s defense allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 573 attempts last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts last season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s RBs averaged just 5.5 yards after the catch last season — T-13th-worst among FBS RBs. Nevada’s defense allowed 11.6 RAC to RBs last season — T-8th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s QBs threw for 3,903 passing yards in 13 games (300.2 YPG) last season — 12th-best among FBS teams. Nevada’s defense allowed 248.2 passing yards per game last season — 26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 573 attempts last season — 30th-worst among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts last season — 14th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 44.1 times per game (1,191/27) since the 2022 season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.8

Georgia Southern Skill Players averaged 28.9 receptions per game (376/13) in the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Georgia Southern WRs have just one touchdown on 80 receptions in close and late situations since the 2022 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.8

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

Nevada RBs averaged 3.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (859 yards / 259 touches) in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 25.8 receptions (439 Rec/17 TDs) since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.5

Nevada RBs averaged just 2.3 Yards per Carry (120 yards/53 carries) in the 4th quarter in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Nevada RBs averaged 3.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (465 yards / 148 touches) on 1st down in the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Nevada WRs averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (135 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 5th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 187 of 1,030 carries (18%) since the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (43/857) since the 2022 season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 187 of 1,030 carries (18%) since the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 13%

Georgia Southern has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (43/857) since the 2022 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Georgia Southern tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 80 rushing attempts (20% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends

Nevada has tackled opponents for a loss on 26 of 147 rushing attempts (18% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– 35th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Nevada has allowed 7.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (626 yards / 84 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 5.1

Nevada allowed 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (345 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 5.3

Nevada allowed a Completion Pct of 60% (26 completions/43 attempts) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– 25th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Nevada tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 423 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) in the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.