Georgia Southern vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Wisconsin wide receiver Skyler Bell against Purdue during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Andy Manis)
(AP Photo/Andy Manis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:13 AM
  • Wisconsin is a -19.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Southern
  • Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Georgia Southern Eagles visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Madison.

Wisconsin is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-110).

The Georgia Southern vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

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Georgia Southern vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Southern+20.5 -11065.5 -110+675
Wisconsin -20.5 -11065.5 -110-1100

Georgia Southern vs Wisconsin Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 89.9% confidence.

Georgia Southern vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Southern and Wisconsin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Wisconsin have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Braelon Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 9% ROI)

Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Southern is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 46.51% ROI).

  • Georgia Southern is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 40% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Georgia Southern is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -4.79% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Southern: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Georgia Southern is winless (0-5) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Southern

#19 Wisconsin is 5-1 (.833) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

#19 Wisconsin is 15-5 (.714) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .512

#19 Wisconsin is undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .473

#19 Wisconsin is 10-1 (.667) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .483

Matchup Notes for Georgia Southern vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin have just 190.8 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 22nd-worst among FBS skill players. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 250.2 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs have just 138.9 receiving yards per game since the 2022 season — 27th-worst among FBS WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 198.5 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Wisconsin’s WRs has averaged just 12.3 yards after the catch this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Georgia Southern’s defense has allowed 15.8 RAC to WRs this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s WRs has gained 479 yards on 49 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — ninth-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 617 passing yards in 2 games (308.5 YPG) this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 236.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern’s QBs has thrown for 600 passing yards in 2 games (300.0 YPG) this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 236.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern’s WRs has gained 479 yards on 49 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) this season — ninth-worst among FBS WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Southern’s offense has thrown for 617 passing yards in 2 games (308.5 YPG) this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 236.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern’s QBs has thrown for 600 passing yards in 2 games (300.0 YPG) this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed 236.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Georgia Southern RBs were targeted 22 times with 4-6 yards to go in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia Southern Skill Players have been targeted 45.0 times per game (675/15) since last season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 30.2

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

#19 Wisconsin RBs have averaged 9.2 Yards per Carry (313 yards/34 carries) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

#19 Wisconsin RBs have averaged 213.0 rushing yards per game (213/1) in the 2nd half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 65.9

Wisconsin RBs have averaged 190.4 rushing yards per game (5,332/28) since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 131.9

#19 Wisconsin RBs have averaged 313.0 rushing yards per game (313/1) this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.9

Wisconsin Skill Players have averaged just 14.5 receptions per game (406/28) since the 2021 season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.9

Georgia Southern Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Southern has allowed opponents to catch just 2 of 8 passes (25% Reception Pct) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Georgia Southern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 60%

Georgia Southern opponents averaged 10.4 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.9

Georgia Southern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) this season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

Georgia Southern opponents averaged 10.4 Passing Attempts per TD (52 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has forced 5 fumbles on 508 carries (101.6 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 40.4

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 7% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 17%

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 15% of rush attempts since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 23%

#19 Wisconsin allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts in the 2022 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 23%

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 12% of rush attempts in close and late situations since the 2021 season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 22%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.