Georgia State vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • James Madison (6-3) are -9.5 point favorites vs Georgia State (4-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

The Georgia State Panthers (4-7) visit Bridgeforth Stadium and Zane Showker Field to take on the James Madison Dukes (7-3) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Harrisonburg.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Georgia State vs. James Madison is total points.

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Georgia State vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia State
James Madison

Georgia State vs James Madison Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 63.0% confidence.

Georgia State vs James Madison Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia State and James Madison, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Georgia State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+16.85 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.95 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Georgia State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Georgia State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Georgia State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia State is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -23.94% ROI
  • Georgia State is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Georgia State is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • James Madison is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • James Madison is 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • James Madison is 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Georgia State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Georgia State is 9-2 (.818) when not throwing an interception — 15th-best in FBS; Average: .576

Georgia State is 13-4 (.765) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .554

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia State

James Madison is winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

James Madison is winless (0-2) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .397

James Madison is winless (0-3) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

James Madison is 1-3 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Matchup Notes for Georgia State vs. James Madison

Georgia State’s QBs has 711 rushing yards this season — fourth-most among FBS teams. James Madison’s defense has allowed 639 rushing yards this season — second-fewest among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s offense has 5,385 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense has allowed 1,008 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fewest among FBS defenses.

Georgia State’s offense has 2,424 rushing yards this season — fourth-most among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense has allowed 639 rushing yards this season — fewest among NonP5 defenses.

Georgia State Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State Kickers have kicked off 0.0 times per game this season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Georgia State QBs have rushed for 310 yards in the 1st quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Georgia State Skill Players have fumbled 8 times in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Georgia State RBs have averaged just 0.6 receptions per game (14/23) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

Georgia State RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison WRs have averaged 21.8 yards per reception (305 yards/14 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4

James Madison WRs have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (1,134 yards/63 catches) since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3

James Madison WRs have averaged 23.0 yards per reception (138 yards/6 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.3

James Madison WRs have been targeted 122 times since last season– 3rd fewest among FBS Teams

James Madison Skill Players have caught just 8 of 26 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

Georgia State Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia State has 13 interceptions this season– tied for 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Georgia State has allowed a passer rating of just 67.4 in close and late situations (36.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 122.6

Georgia State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 9% of PATs since last season– 4th highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

Georgia State has allowed a passer rating of just 67.4 in close and late situations (36.0 Pass Attempts) this season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 125.3

Georgia State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 44 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– tied for 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 21 rushing attempts (38% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

James Madison has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 27 attempts (26%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

James Madison has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 7 of 27 attempts (26%) on 3rd and long since last season– best in FBS; Average: 10%

James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 46 of 194 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.