Georgia Tech vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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FILE - Louisville head coach Jeff Brohm shouts instructions to his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023. Louisville enters without Jack Plummer, who led Jeff Brohm's first-year program to its first ACC title game berth. (AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley, FIle)
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:41 PM
  • Louisville is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Tech
  • Georgia Tech vs. Louisville Total(Over/Under): 57.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3-1) visit L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium to take on the Louisville Cardinals (2-0) on Sep. 21 in Louisville, KY. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Louisville is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Georgia Tech vs. Louisville Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Georgia Tech vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech+10.5 -11057.5 -105+300
Louisville -10.5 -11057.5 -115-375

Georgia Tech vs Louisville Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this game with 77.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Tech and Louisville, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Georgia Tech vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 64.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+9.25 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Haynes King has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Jamal Haynes has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Malik Rutherford has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Haynes King has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Louisville players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Louisville Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • no trends found

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 16.96% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI

Louisville Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisville is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).

  • Louisville is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Louisville is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Louisville is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Louisville

Georgia Tech is 1-4 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .324

Georgia Tech is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .580

Georgia Tech is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Georgia Tech is 10-3 (.769) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496

Louisville: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

Louisville is 5-3 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .392

Louisville is 9-2 (.692) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-28th-best in FBS; Average: .526

Louisville is 5-1 (.714) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .589

Louisville is 9-4 (.600) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 37th-best in FBS; Average: .484

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. Louisville

Louisville’s TEs has 12 receptions in 2 games (6.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.4% of 69 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.3% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Louisville’s TEs has 12 receptions in 2 games (6.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 7 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 7 receptions in 3 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 7 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 7 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 7 receptions in 3 games (just 2.3 per game) this season — T-2nd-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has gained 65 yards on 7 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among ACC TEs. Louisville’s defense has allowed just 7.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech has 16 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — T-2nd-most among ACC skill players. Louisville’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2023 season — T-3rd-fewest among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s WRs has been targeted 96 times this season — 2nd-most among ACC WRs. Louisville’s defense has allowed 232 receiving yards this season — fewest among ACC defenses.

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisville’s TEs has 12 receptions in 2 games (6.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Louisville RBs have averaged 9.4 Yards per Carry (527 yards/56 carries) this season– T-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Louisville’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 17.4% of 69 attempts this season — 9th-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.3% of attempts this season — 5th-best among ACC defenses.

Louisville RBs have averaged 7.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,992 yards / 262 touches) on 1st down since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Louisville’s TEs has 12 receptions in 2 games (6.0 per game) this season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 20.8 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.1

Georgia Tech has no interceptions (126 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31.3

Georgia Tech has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.5

Georgia Tech has no interceptions (126 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 32 of 120 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) this season– 4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 18%.

Louisville Cardinals Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of just 0% (0 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 54%

Louisville has allowed opponents to catch just 0 of 5 passes (0% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Louisville has sacked opposing QBs on 17% of pass attempts (9/52) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Louisville has allowed a Completion Pct of just 0% (0 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Louisville has allowed opponents to catch just 0 of 5 passes (0% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in FBS; Average: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.