Georgia Tech vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Mississippi coach Lane Kiffin watches a play on the video board during the second half of the team's NCAA college football game against Central Arkansas in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:15 AM
  • Mississippi is a -18.5 point favorite vs. Georgia Tech
  • Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Oxford.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Georgia Tech vs. Mississippi Over/Under is 61.5 total points.

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Georgia Tech vs. Mississippi Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech+16.5 -11061.5 -110+550
Mississippi -16.5 -11061.5 -110-800

Georgia Tech vs Mississippi Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 92.5% confidence.

Georgia Tech vs Mississippi Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 57.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Tech and Mississippi, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+19.20 Units / 480% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 52% ROI)

Best Mississippi Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Mississippi is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 21.28% ROI
  • Mississippi is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Mississippi is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Mississippi

Georgia Tech is winless (0-7) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .321

Georgia Tech is winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .389

Georgia Tech is 5-16 (.238) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

Georgia Tech is 4-12 (.250) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .470

Mississippi: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

#22 Ole Miss is undefeated (3-0) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

#22 Ole Miss is 10-4 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423

#22 Ole Miss is 8-4 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .382

#22 Ole Miss is 5-2 (.625) when not losing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. Mississippi

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.0% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.0% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — second-best among ACC defenses.

Ole Miss’s WRs has gained 618 yards on 33 receptions (18.7 YPR) this season — second-best among Power 5 WRs. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,929 passing yards in 14 games (just 209.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 236.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among ACC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech has gained 623 yards on 43 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech’s offense has thrown for 2,929 passing yards in 14 games (just 209.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 35th-worst among FBS offenses. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 236.9 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech’s TEs has 3 receptions in 2 games (just 1.5 per game) this season — tied for fourth-worst among ACC TEs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed just 16.0 receptions per game this season — second-best among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech has gained 623 yards on 43 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS skill players. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among SEC defenses.

Georgia Tech TEs had no touchdowns on 25 receptions in the 2022 season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.6

Georgia Tech’s RBs has averaged 6.2 targets per game since the 2022 season — tied for 12th-highest among FBS RBs. Ole Miss’s defense has allowed 3.9 receptions per game to RBs since the 2022 season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Mississippi Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 Ole Miss QBs have 14 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#22 Ole Miss Skill Players have 14 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#17 Ole Miss QBs have 16 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#22 Ole Miss QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down this season– most among FBS Teams

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.0% of 456 attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Georgia Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Georgia Tech has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 10 passes (30% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Georgia Tech has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 23 rushing attempts in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Georgia Tech has allowed opponents to catch just 3 of 10 passes (30% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Ole Miss Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (7 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#17 Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (72 completions/142 attempts) since the 2021 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

#17 Ole Miss has allowed opponents to catch just 7 of 21 passes (33% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long since the 2021 season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

#17 Ole Miss has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (7 completions/21 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

#17 Ole Miss has allowed opponents to catch just 72 of 142 passes (51% Reception Pct) since the 2021 season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.