Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • North Carolina (9-1) are -21 point favorites vs Georgia Tech (4-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 63.5 points

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (5-6) visit Kenan Memorial Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (9-2) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Chapel Hill.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina is total points.

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Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Georgia Tech
North Carolina

Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 73.3% confidence.

Georgia Tech vs North Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Tech will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Georgia Tech and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Georgia Tech Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Georgia Tech players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff Sims has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 46% ROI)

Best North Carolina Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Carolina players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drake Maye has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Josh Downs has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Drake Maye has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Antoine Green has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+8.75 Units / 219% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Georgia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+8.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 9 games at home (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)

Georgia Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Georgia Tech has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Georgia Tech is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 53.03% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
  • Georgia Tech is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI

North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

North Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • North Carolina is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 46.96% ROI
  • North Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • North Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Georgia Tech: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina

Georgia Tech is 5-13 (.278) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Georgia Tech is 1-12 (.077) when intercepting no passes — 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .357

Georgia Tech is 2-6 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Georgia Tech is 4-11 (.267) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. Georgia Tech

#22 North Carolina is 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .378

#22 North Carolina is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .625

#22 North Carolina is 10-5 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .379

#22 North Carolina is 12-4 (.706) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .513

Matchup Notes for Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina

North Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 8 games (366.6 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 253.6 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina have 352.6 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 239.4 receiving yards per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina’s offense has thrown for 2,821 passing yards in 8 games (352.6 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 253.6 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 40 receptions since last season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.5

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (17 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Georgia Tech Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.3 receptions (36 Rec/11 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Georgia Tech TEs have no touchdowns on 25 receptions this season– tied for 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.8

Georgia Tech Kickers have averaged 8.0 yards per kickoff (-16 yards/-2 kickoffs) in close and late situations since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 60.5

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 North Carolina RBs have averaged 15.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (203 yards / 13 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#13 North Carolina TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#13 North Carolina has averaged 352.6 Passing Yards per game (2,821/8) this season– 2nd best among FBS Offenses; Average: 232.6*

North Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 2,933 passing yards in 8 games (366.6 YPG) this season — second-best among FBS teams. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 253.6 passing yards per game this season — fifth-worst among ACC defenses.

North Carolina have 352.6 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among FBS skill players. Georgia Tech’s defense has allowed 239.4 receiving yards per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among ACC defenses.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Defensive Stats & Trends

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 28 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Georgia Tech has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 86 of 631 attempts (14%) since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Georgia Tech has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 28 rushing attempts (29% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Georgia Tech has allowed a passer rating of 153.6 (631.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 130.0

Georgia Tech has allowed 3.6 touchdowns per interception (43 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.8

North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 46 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

#13 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 28 of 308 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#13 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 28 of 308 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

#13 North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 46 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#13 North Carolina has allowed 1.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (57 yards / 30 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.