- Oregon is a -38.5 point favorite vs. Hawaii
- Total (Over/Under): 68.5 points
- Watch the game on Pac-12 Network
The Hawai’i Warriors visit Autzen Stadium to take on the Oregon Ducks on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Eugene.
Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -38.5 (-105).
The Hawaii vs. Oregon Over/Under is 68.5 total points.
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Hawaii vs. Oregon Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Hawaii | +38.5 -115 | 68.5 -105 | +2500 |
| Oregon | -38.5 -105 | 68.5 -115 | -10000 |
Hawaii vs Oregon Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Hawaii vs Oregon Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Hawaii and Oregon, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Oregon vs Hawaii and all games with BetMGM
Hawaii Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Hawaii have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Hawaii have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Hawaii has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 41% ROI)
Oregon Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Oregon have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Oregon has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Best Oregon Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Troy Franklin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kris Hutson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Hawaii Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Hawaii is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Hawaii is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -18.87% ROI
- Hawaii is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Hawaii is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Oregon is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 47.62% ROI
- Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Oregon is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Hawaii: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon
Hawai’i was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Hawai’i is winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425
Hawai’i was 1-10 (.091) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– tied for 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Hawai’i is 3-18 (.143) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .426
Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Hawaii
#15 Oregon is 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .414
#15 Oregon was 8-2 (.727) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .384
#15 Oregon was 5-1 (.833) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .414
#15 Oregon is 9-2 (.692) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .405
Matchup Notes for Hawaii vs. Oregon
Oregon’s RBs has rushed for 2,710 yards on 446 carries (6.1 YPC) since the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s RBs has rushed for 2,710 yards on 446 carries (6.1 YPC) since the 2022 season — tied for third-best among FBS RBs. Hawai’i’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC to RBs since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon’s QBs has rushed for 579 yards on 104 carries (5.6 YPC) since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Hawai’i’s defense have allowed 5.2 YPC since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-worst among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s QBs has thrown for 1,072 passing yards in 3 games (357.3 YPG) this season — ninth-best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Hawai’i has gained 3,606 yards on 338 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i’s WRs has gained 2,785 yards on 236 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) since the 2022 season — 20th-worst among FBS WRs. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Hawaii Offensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i’s QBs has thrown for 1,072 passing yards in 3 games (357.3 YPG) this season — ninth-best among FBS teams. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 188.0 passing yards per game this season — fourth-best among Pac-12 defenses.
Hawai’i has gained 3,606 yards on 338 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 17th-worst among FBS skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 66 times this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have been targeted 17 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Hawai’i WRs have 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams
Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends
#15 Oregon RBs have averaged 10.4 Yards per Carry (311 yards/30 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
#15 Oregon RBs have rushed for 7 TDs this season– most among FBS Teams
#13 Oregon TEs have been targeted 31 times in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams
#15 Oregon Skill Players had no touchdowns on 28 receptions in close and late situations in the 2022 season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.0
#15 Oregon RBs have averaged 17.7 Yards per Carry (195 yards/11 carries) in the 1st half this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Hawai’i Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
Hawai’i has no interceptions (66 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 37.0
Hawai’i has no interceptions (66 pass attempts) this season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.6
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (41 completions/52 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 59%
Hawai’i has allowed a Completion Pct of 82% (27 completions/33 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
Hawai’i has allowed 24 first down receptions this season– 3rd-most in FBS
Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends
#15 Oregon averaged a sack every 34.9 pass attempts (384 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7
#15 Oregon sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/384) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 7%
#15 Oregon has allowed just 6.5 yards per completion (52 yards/8 completions) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4
#15 Oregon averaged a sack every 34.9 pass attempts (384 Pass Attempts/11 Sacks) in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
#15 Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 40% (8 completions/20 attempts) this season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%
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