Houston vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
  • Arizona St is a -7 point favorite vs. Houston
  • Houston vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN2

Houston (6-1) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on Arizona State (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).

The Houston vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Houston vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston+7 -11046.5 -110240
Arizona State -7 -11046.5 -110-300

Houston vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 72.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Houston vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+3.55 Units / 15% ROI)

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Houston is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 11.85% ROI
  • Houston is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • Houston is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.92% ROI).

  • Arizona State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 15.02% ROI
  • Arizona State is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Arizona State is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (1,482 yards/145 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s WRs has 212 receptions in 21 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

Arizona State was 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona State was 7-1 (.875) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Arizona State

Arizona State was 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona State was 7-1 (.875) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (1,482 yards/145 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s WRs has 212 receptions in 21 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (1,482 yards/145 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s WRs has 212 receptions in 21 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State was 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona State was 7-1 (.875) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona State WRs have averaged 27.2 yards per reception (136 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and long this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.9

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged just 10.2 yards per reception (1,482 yards/145 catches) this season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arizona State RBs had 11 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s WRs has 212 receptions in 21 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-24th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State was 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona State was 7-1 (.875) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631


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