Houston vs East Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • East Carolina (6-4) are -6 point favorites vs Houston (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 67.5 points

The Houston Cougars (7-4) visit Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium to take on the East Carolina Pirates (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Greenville.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Houston vs. East Carolina is total points.

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Houston vs. East Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston
East Carolina

Houston vs East Carolina Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts East Carolina will win this game with 58.0% confidence.

Houston vs East Carolina Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts East Carolina will cover the spread with 50.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and East Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Clayton Tune has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nathaniel Dell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Clayton Tune has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • East Carolina have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • East Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Houston is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -3.53% ROI
  • Houston is 9-1 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI
  • Houston is 1-9 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / -80.91% ROI

East Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record

East Carolina has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • East Carolina is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -18.24% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • East Carolina is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. East Carolina

Houston is 15-1 (.882) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Houston is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Houston is 8-3 (.727) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 9th-best in FBS; Average: .379

Houston is 15-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 15th-best in FBS; Average: .494

Matchup Notes for Houston vs. East Carolina

East Carolina’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 24.0 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 24.0 receptions per game this season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston WRs have caught 11 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston Skill Players have caught 11 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have caught 18 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have caught 8 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have 33 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

East Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina TEs have fumbled 4 times since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

East Carolina’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 24.0 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

East Carolina RBs have averaged 7.8 Yards per Carry (551 yards/71 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

East Carolina’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed 24.0 receptions per game this season — second-worst among NonP5 defenses.

East Carolina RBs have averaged 8.3 Yards per Carry (340 yards/41 carries) in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston has allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Houston has allowed 18 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Houston has allowed 15 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Houston has allowed 27 TD passes this season– most in FBS

Houston has no interceptions (49 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 35.1

East Carolina Pirates Defensive Stats & Trends

East Carolina’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 10% of PATs since last season– 3rd highest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4%

East Carolina has intercepted 5 of 68 attempts (13.6 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 36.8

East Carolina has allowed 6 rushing TDs on 50 carries (8.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

East Carolina has intercepted 5 of 68 attempts (13.6 pass attempts per int.) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 33.1

East Carolina has allowed first downs on 10% of rush attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.