Houston vs Memphis Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 07, 2022, 8:50 AM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Houston Cougars (3-3) visit Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers (4-3) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Memphis.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Houston vs. Memphis is total points.

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Houston vs. Memphis Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston
Memphis

Houston vs Memphis Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 52.0% confidence.

Houston vs Memphis Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 67.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Memphis, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Houston Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Houston players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Clayton Tune has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nathaniel Dell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nathaniel Dell has hit the Receptions Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Clayton Tune has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.32 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.93 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Houston are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Houston are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Houston are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Memphis has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Memphis are when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Memphis are when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Memphis are when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Memphis

Houston is undefeated (8-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .563

Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Memphis

Memphis’s tight end unit has 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS TE corps. Houston’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS defenses.

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston WRs have picked up first downs on 25 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Houston Skill Players have picked up first downs on 29 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Houston RBs have 7 receptions in close and late situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Houston Skill Players have picked up first downs on 9 receptions in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends

Memphis RBs have averaged 9.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (252 yards / 26 touches) on 2nd down this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Memphis RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Memphis RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (345 yards / 37 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6

Memphis TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes this season– tied for 5th most among FBS Teams

Memphis’s tight end unit has 4 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS TE corps. Houston’s defense has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among FBS defenses.

Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston has allowed 11 TD passes this season– tied for 5th most in FBS

Houston has allowed a passer rating of just 91.0 in close and late situations (97.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 126.2

Houston has allowed 32.7 carries per game (588 carries / 18 games) since last season– 4th lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.5

Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of just 43% (6 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 64%

Houston has allowed first downs on 29% of pass attempts on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 52%

Memphis Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends

Memphis has allowed a passer rating of just 71.4 in the Red Zone (12.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 179.6

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on just 8 of 99 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Memphis has allowed a passer rating of just 116.9 in the Red Zone (69.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 170.5

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 146 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Memphis has tackled opponents for a loss on just 13 of 146 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.