Houston vs Rice Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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Rice wide receiver Luke McCaffrey during the second half of an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept. 24, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke).
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke).
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:08 PM
  • Houston is a -9.5 point favorite vs. Rice
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • Watch the game on NFL Network

The Houston Cougars visit Rice Stadium to take on the Rice Owls on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Houston.

Houston is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Houston vs. Rice Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Houston vs. Rice Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Houston-9.5 -11552.5 -110-375
Rice +9.5 -10552.5 -110+290

Houston vs Rice Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Rice will win this game with 79.4% confidence.

Houston vs Rice Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Houston and Rice, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Houston has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+2.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Houston is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Houston is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 110% ROI
  • Houston is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Houston is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Rice is 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -16.02% ROI
  • Rice is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • Rice is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Houston is winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

Houston is winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440

Houston is winless (0-2) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Houston is winless (0-4) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .414

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Houston

Rice is 3-14 (.176) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .421

Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427

Rice is 3-15 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .426

Rice is 3-16 (.150) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .408

Matchup Notes for Houston vs. Rice

Rice’s WRs gained 2,386 yards on 167 receptions (14.3 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Rice gained 3,026 yards on 230 receptions (13.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 28th-best among FBS skill players. Houston’s defense allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Rice’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense allowed 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Houston’s WRs have 230.1 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — 11th-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense has allowed 191.3 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Houston’s WRs had 2.7 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — second-best among FBS WRs. Rice’s defense allowed 2.2 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for ninth-worst among FBS defenses.

Houston had 27 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone in the 2022 season — most among Big 12 skill players. Rice’s defense allowed 20 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone in the 2022 season — most among NonP5 defenses.

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends

Houston WRs had 38 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs caught 20 touchdown passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs caught 11 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Houston Skill Players caught 11 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– most among FBS Teams

Houston WRs have caught 12 touchdown passes in close and late situations since the 2021 season– most among FBS Teams

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice’s WRs gained 2,386 yards on 167 receptions (14.3 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Rice gained 3,026 yards on 230 receptions (13.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 28th-best among FBS skill players. Houston’s defense allowed 11.9 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Rice’s WRs had 1.5 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense allowed 2.5 receiving touchdowns per game in the 2022 season — tied for fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice’s WRs gained 2,386 yards on 167 receptions (14.3 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-best among FBS WRs. Houston’s defense allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Rice WRs have averaged just 6.0 receptions per game (6/1) this season– tied for 8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.6

Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

Houston allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Houston allowed 19 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most in FBS

Houston has averaged 3.00 interceptions per game (3/1) this season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 0.85

Houston allowed 30 TD passes in the 2022 season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Houston has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 9 of 35 carries (26%) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice did not record a sack (47 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.7

Rice allowed 5.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (386 yards / 70 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Rice allowed 9.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (274 yards / 29 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 4.9

Rice allowed 5.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (386 yards / 70 touches) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

Rice allowed 17 TD passes in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.