Illinois vs Kansas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:13 PM
  • Kansas is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN2

The Illinois Fighting Illini visit David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium to take on the Kansas Jayhawks on Sep. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Lawrence.

Kansas is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Illinois vs. Kansas Over/Under is 57.5 total points.

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Illinois vs. Kansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois+3.5 -11057.5 -110+145
Kansas -3.5 -11057.5 -110-175

Illinois vs Kansas Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas will win this game with 61.2% confidence.

Illinois vs Kansas Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Kansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Kansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Bean has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jalon Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Quentin Skinner has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jalon Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jalon Daniels has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+0.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.27 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+3.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Illinois is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 30.3% ROI
  • Illinois is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Illinois is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Kansas is 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 23.16% ROI
  • Kansas is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • Kansas is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Kansas is 1-14 (.059) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .381

Kansas is 1-13 (.059) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .286

Kansas is winless (0-9) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .273

Kansas is 2-16 (.105) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .384

Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Kansas

Kansas gained 3,135 yards on 232 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs gained 2,222 yards on 151 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs gained 2,222 yards on 151 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 742 attempts since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.

Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 742 attempts since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 5,167 passing yards in 26 games (just 198.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Kansas’s defense has allowed 254.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 742 attempts since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.

Illinois’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.1% of 742 attempts since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 5,167 passing yards in 26 games (just 198.7 YPG) since the 2021 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Kansas’s defense has allowed 254.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Illinois Skill Players averaged just 6.9 yards per reception (138 yards/20 catches) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Illinois’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 394 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Kansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 10.5% of attempts in the 2022 season — fifth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas gained 3,135 yards on 232 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 17th-best among FBS skill players. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs gained 2,222 yards on 151 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s WRs gained 2,222 yards on 151 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — fourth-best among Big 12 WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas gained 3,135 yards on 232 receptions (13.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for best among Big 12 skill players. Illinois’s defense allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Kansas’s WRs gained 2,222 yards on 151 receptions (14.7 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Illinois’s defense allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best among FBS defenses.

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois had 21 interceptions in the 2022 season– most in FBS

Illinois allowed 6 rushing TDs on 342 carries (57 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 23.8

Illinois had 21 interceptions in the 2022 season– most among Power 5 Teams

Illinois averaged 1.91 interceptions per game (21/11) in the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 0.82

Illinois averaged 1.91 interceptions per game (21/11) in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.83

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has allowed 79 TDs in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 2.1

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 100 of 972 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Kansas has allowed 115 TDs since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.0

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 17 of 203 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Kansas tackled opponents for a loss on just 55 of 476 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) in the 2022 season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.