Illinois vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:34 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Illinois Fighting Illini (7-1) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Lincoln.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Illinois vs. Nebraska is total points.

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Illinois vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois
Nebraska

Illinois vs Nebraska Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 64.9% confidence.

Illinois vs Nebraska Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 60.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Nebraska, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Illinois is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Nebraska is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Nebraska is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Nebraska is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Nebraska is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

Nebraska is 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Nebraska is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Nebraska is 1-8 (.111) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .424

Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Nebraska

Nebraska has gained 1,719 yards on 127 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,377 yards on 90 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,377 yards on 90 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 7 games (just 2.7 per game) this season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 4.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 26.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 7 games (just 2.7 per game) this season — second-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 4.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS defenses.

#18 Illinois RBs have rushed for 9 TDs on 600 carries (66.7 Carries Per TD) since last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Illinois’s TEs has 57 receptions in 19 games (just 3.0 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 26.4 receptions per game since the 2021 season — worst among P5 defenses.

#18 Illinois RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 219 carries (109.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.1

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has gained 1,719 yards on 127 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,377 yards on 90 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — fifth-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs has gained 1,377 yards on 90 receptions (15.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception this season — fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Nebraska has gained 4,916 yards on 342 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Power 5 skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Nebraska’s TEs has gained 1,100 yards on 77 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

#18 Illinois has allowed no passing TDs (12 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.4

#18 Illinois opponents has averaged 97.5 Passing Attempts per TD (195 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– best in FBS; Average: 20.9

#18 Illinois has allowed 0.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (9 yards / 13 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 3.7

#18 Illinois has allowed no passing TDs (12 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#18 Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 10 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs just once on 60 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.2

Nebraska has no interceptions and 15 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 9.3

Nebraska has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (30/654) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Nebraska’s opponents has attempted 41.8 passes per game this season– 4th highest in FBS; Average: 31.8

Nebraska has allowed just 11.0 yards per completion (4,490 yards/409 completions) since last season– tied for 5th best in FBS; Average: 12.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.