- Illinois is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- Illinois vs. Northwestern Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
The Illinois Fighting Illini (8-3) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (4-7) on Nov. 30 in Chicago, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.
Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Illinois vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 43.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | -7.5 -110 | 43.5 -105 | -300 |
| Northwestern | +7.5 -110 | 43.5 -115 | +240 |
Illinois vs Northwestern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 70.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois and Northwestern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Illinois vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Illinois Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 2% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Northwestern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 17% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Illinois players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Illinois Player Prop Bets Today
- Tanner Arkin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Pat Bryant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaden Feagin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.10 Units / 110% ROI)
- Josh McCray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Luke Altmyer has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cam Porter has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- A.J. Henning has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jack Lausch has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bryce Kirtz has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mike Wright has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Illinois is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.75 Units / 31.12% ROI).
- Illinois is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 6.28% ROI
- Illinois is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
- Illinois is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).
- Northwestern is 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.17% ROI
- Northwestern is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
- Northwestern is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Illinois is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .641
Illinois is 14-6 (.700) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: .579
Illinois is 13-1 (.929) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .782
Illinois is 11-6 (.647) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 28th-best in FBS; Average: .504
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois
Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .428
Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .474
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .532
Northwestern is 1-7 (.125) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Matchup Notes for Illinois vs. Northwestern
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 330 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 714 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern has averaged just 10.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-4th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed just 11.0 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s WRs has gained 2,028 yards on 140 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois has gained 5,568 yards on 449 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among P5 TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends
Illinois Skill Players have averaged 15.7 yards per reception (769 yards/49 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5
Illinois’s WRs has gained 2,028 yards on 140 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 12.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois has gained 5,568 yards on 449 receptions (12.4 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Illinois Skill Players averaged 20.8 yards per reception (249 yards/12 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.2
Illinois’s TEs has 19 receptions in 11 games (just 1.7 per game) this season — T-4th-worst among P5 TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.2 receptions (181 Rec/5 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.5% of 330 attempts this season — T-27th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts this season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.4% of 714 attempts since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.7% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 36.2 receptions (181 Rec/5 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 36.3 receptions (109 Rec/3 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 54 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 54 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.
Illinois has allowed 28 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-most among Power Conference Teams
Illinois has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 54 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
Illinois has allowed 27 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 37% (14 completions/38 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 53%
Northwestern has no interceptions (94 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.6
Northwestern has no interceptions (57 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 46.3
Northwestern has no interceptions (94 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 46.5
Northwestern has allowed opponents to catch just 14 of 37 passes (38% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 54%
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