Indiana vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:50 PM
  • Ohio State (9-0) are -39.5 point favorites vs Indiana (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points

The Indiana Hoosiers (4-7) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Columbus.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Indiana vs. Ohio State is total points.

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Indiana vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana
Ohio State

Indiana vs Ohio State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 79.5% confidence.

Indiana vs Ohio State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Connor Bazelak has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.30 Units / 68% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • C.J. Stroud has hit the Completions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+1.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.35 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.68 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Indiana is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -41.03% ROI
  • Indiana is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • Indiana is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio State is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 12.55% ROI
  • Ohio State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Ohio State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Indiana is winless (0-10) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Indiana is winless (0-12) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .364

Indiana is winless (0-12) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .449

Indiana is winless (0-8) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .522

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (11-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best in FBS; Average: .437

#2 Ohio State is 19-1 (.950) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best in FBS; Average: .492

#2 Ohio State is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .378

Matchup Notes for Indiana vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s QBs has thrown for 7,461 passing yards in 21 games (355.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State has gained 7,288 yards on 515 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has 24 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Power 5 WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 28 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among P5 defenses.

Indiana’s offense has 638 rushing yards this season — fifth-fewest among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 761 rushing yards this season — fifth-fewest among P5 defenses.

Indiana’s offense has 638 rushing yards this season — fifth-fewest among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 761 rushing yards this season — third-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.2 receptions (236 Rec/9 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Indiana WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Indiana WRs have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.2 receptions (236 Rec/9 TDs) since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Indiana WRs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State’s QBs has thrown for 7,461 passing yards in 21 games (355.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State QBs have 111 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio State has gained 7,288 yards on 515 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State WRs have 94 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#2 Ohio State Skill Players have caught 71 touchdown passes since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

Indiana has allowed a passer rating of 237.1 in the Red Zone (70.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 164.3

Indiana has allowed 29 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

Indiana has allowed 29 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana has allowed first downs on 41% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 280 carries (70 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24.1

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 20 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 280 carries (70 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.1

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 20 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,150 yards / 408 touches) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.