Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:19 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on BTN

The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-3) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (6-1) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Champaign.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Iowa vs. Illinois is total points.

Bet now on Illinois vs Iowa & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Iowa vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa
Illinois

Iowa vs Illinois Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 56.4% confidence.

Iowa vs Illinois Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 69.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Illinois Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Illinois players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Brown has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Isaiah Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Tommy DeVito has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.65 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+18.40 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Iowa is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Illinois is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Illinois is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Iowa is 6-2 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .419

Iowa is 12-3 (.706) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Iowa is 10-6 (.625) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

Iowa is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .477

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Illinois is 5-10 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– tied for 10th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .505

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Illinois is 3-9 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .499

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Illinois

Illinois have just 175.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 194.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s receiving corps has 9 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Power 5 WR corps. Illinois’s defense has allowed 14 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among P5 defenses.

Iowa has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-fewest among Power 5 skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — second-fewest among Power 5 skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-fewest among P5 defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa TEs have been targeted 14 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (23 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 4.7 receptions (14 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Iowa TEs have 11 receptions in close and late situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (23 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois RBs have rushed for 4 TDs on 51 carries (12.8 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

Illinois have just 175.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 194.8 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois Skill Players have just one touchdown on 45 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.8

Illinois WRs have no touchdowns on 29 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

Illinois RBs have averaged 3.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (493 yards / 141 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 4.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (911 yards / 217 touches) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 6.3

Iowa has allowed 4.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (911 yards / 217 touches) this season– best in FBS; Average: 6.6

Iowa has averaged 1.56 interceptions per game (28/18) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.86

Iowa has allowed just 8.6 yards per completion (575 yards/67 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 12.4

Iowa has allowed first downs on 9% of rush attempts in close and late situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22%

Illinois Fighting Illini Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has allowed a passer rating of just -3.0 in the Red Zone (8.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 164.7

Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 12% (1 completions/8 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 51%

Illinois opponents has averaged 7.9 Passing Attempts per TD (55 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (64 completions/141 attempts) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 60%

Illinois has allowed a Completion Pct of just 45% (64 completions/141 attempts) this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 59%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Illinois vs Iowa and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.