Iowa vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:28 AM
  • Minnesota (7-3) are -3 point favorites vs Iowa (6-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 32.5 points

The Iowa Hawkeyes (7-4) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-4) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Iowa vs. Minnesota is total points.

Bet now on Minnesota vs Iowa & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Iowa vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa
Minnesota

Iowa vs Minnesota Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 50.5% confidence.

Iowa vs Minnesota Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tanner Morgan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tanner Morgan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Minnesota have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 10.39% ROI
  • Iowa is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Iowa is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Minnesota is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -8.66% ROI
  • Minnesota is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
  • Minnesota is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points — best in FBS; Average: .629

Iowa is undefeated (9-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

Iowa is 11-3 (.786) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 6th-best in FBS; Average: .515

Iowa is 3-1 (.750) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .503

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

Minnesota is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

Minnesota is 7-3 (.700) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Minnesota is 9-3 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Minnesota is 11-5 (.550) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Minnesota

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,068 yards on 66 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 2,615 yards on 170 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,068 yards on 66 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — tied for fourth-best among FBS TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s WRs has gained 647 yards on 59 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — tied for third-worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception this season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa’s TEs has 56 receptions in 9 games (6.2 per game) this season — third-best among P5 TEs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game this season — fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (32 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa TEs have been targeted 65 times on 3rd down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.6 receptions (32 Rec/7 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa TEs have been targeted 10.4 times per game (94/9) this season– 3rd highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.8

Iowa RBs have rushed for 8 TDs on 91 carries (11.4 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,068 yards on 66 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 2,615 yards on 170 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,068 yards on 66 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 1,068 yards on 66 receptions (16.2 YPR) this season — third-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.5 Yards Per Reception this season — best among P5 defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs has gained 2,615 yards on 170 receptions (15.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 30 carries (15 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 324 carries (108 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24.3

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 30 carries (15 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Iowa has allowed 4.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,246 yards / 491 touches) this season– best in FBS; Average: 6.8

Iowa has allowed 3 rushing TDs on 324 carries (108 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.4

Minnesota Golden Gophers Defensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota has no interceptions (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 36.8

Minnesota opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Minnesota opponents has averaged 9.0 Passing Attempts per TD (18 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Minnesota has allowed a passer rating of just 104.9 (255.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 127.0

Minnesota has no interceptions (43 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.7


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Minnesota vs Iowa and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.