Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2022, 11:14 AM

– (3-5) are point favorites vs – (3-5)
Total (Over/Under): points
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The Iowa Hawkeyes (4-4) visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Columbus.

– are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Iowa vs. Ohio State is total points.

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Iowa vs. Ohio State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Iowa
Ohio State

Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 74.8% confidence.

Iowa vs Ohio State Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 68.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Sam LaPorta has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 32% ROI)

Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.15 Units / 67% ROI)

Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Arland Bruce IV has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

C.J. Stroud has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 44% ROI)

C.J. Stroud has hit the TD Passes Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)

C.J. Stroud has hit the Completions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 61% ROI)

TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)

TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Iowa has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)

Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)

Iowa have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)

Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 8% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)

Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Iowa is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Iowa is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Iowa is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Ohio State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Ohio State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Ohio State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Iowa is 6-2 (.600) when rushing for more than 100 yards — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

Iowa is undefeated (6-0) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .487

Iowa is undefeated (12-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .534

Iowa is 12-3 (.706) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .470

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa

#3 Ohio State is 14-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

#3 Ohio State is undefeated (7-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

#3 Ohio State is 10-3 (.769) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2020 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

#3 Ohio State is 16-2 (.762) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Matchup Notes for Iowa vs. Ohio State

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 6,566 passing yards in 18 games (364.8 YPG) since the 2021 season — second-best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 205.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State has gained 1,613 yards on 108 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Power 5 skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 7.3 Yards Per Reception this season — best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.8% of 149 attempts this season — best among FBS offenses. Iowa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 4.8% of attempts this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

Iowa’s TEs has 93 receptions in 19 games (4.9 per game) since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.3 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

Iowa’s TEs has 33 receptions in 5 games (6.6 per game) this season — best among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — third-best among P5 defenses.

Iowa’s TEs has 33 receptions in 5 games (6.6 per game) this season — fifth-best among FBS TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 15.0 receptions per game this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (25 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 37.0 receptions (74 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.2

Iowa Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (25 Rec/5 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Iowa WRs have just one touchdown on 33 receptions this season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.4

Iowa WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.0 receptions (15 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (656 yards/38 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.1

Ohio State has gained 6,564 yards on 457 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big Ten skill players. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Iowa Hawkeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa opponents has averaged 73.0 Passing Attempts per TD (146 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 20.8

Iowa has allowed just 8.0 yards per completion (685 yards/86 completions) this season– best in FBS; Average: 12.5

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 195 carries (97.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 24

Iowa has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 195 carries (97.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 26.2

Iowa opponents has averaged 73.0 Passing Attempts per TD (146 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 23.7

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed first downs on 20% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 16 of 64 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 153 carries (76.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24

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