- The Iowa St. is a -14 point favorite vs. Houston
- The Iowa State vs. Houston Total(Over/Under): 43 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Iowa State Cyclones (3-0) visit TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars (1-3) on Sep. 28 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14 (-115).
The Iowa State vs. Houston Over/Under is 43 total points.
Bet now on Houston vs Iowa St. & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Iowa State vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Iowa State | -14 -115 | 43 -110 | -650 |
Houston | +14 -105 | 43 -110 | +450 |
Iowa State vs Houston Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Houston, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa State vs Houston Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Houston will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Houston vs Iowa St. and all games with BetMGM
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+7.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.80 Units / 12% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Bets Today
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 4 away games (+5.15 Units / 87% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Abu Sama III has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Houston players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Houston Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Joseph Manjack IV has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Parker Jenkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.13% ROI).
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.15 Units / -3.45% ROI).
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Houston
Iowa State is 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .445
Iowa State is 10-4 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .620
Iowa State is 7-1 (.875) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .702
Iowa State is 8-5 (.615) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .457
Houston: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Houston is 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .614
Houston is 4-9 (.308) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .552
Houston is 2-10 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
Houston is 1-10 (.091) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .448
Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. Houston
Houston’s TEs has gained 93 yards on 10 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston has gained 703 yards on 71 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s offense has thrown for 703 passing yards in 4 games (just 175.8 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 112.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.3% of 86 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 164 yards on 11 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs have 201.0 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 101.8 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 22.6 yards per reception (339 yards/15 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.5
Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.3% of 86 attempts this season — T-11th-best among FBS offenses. Houston’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs has gained 164 yards on 11 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Houston’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State WRs have averaged 24.8 yards per reception (347 yards/14 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.4
Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 21.3 yards per reception (512 yards/24 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3
Houston Offensive Stats & Trends
Houston’s TEs has gained 93 yards on 10 receptions (just 9.3 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston has gained 703 yards on 71 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s offense has thrown for 703 passing yards in 4 games (just 175.8 YPG) this season — 28th-worst among FBS offenses. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 112.7 passing yards per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 703 passing yards in 4 games (just 175.8 YPG) this season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 112.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
Houston has gained 703 yards on 71 receptions (just 9.9 YPR) this season — T-18th-worst among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.
Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (26 completions/63 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Iowa State opponents has averaged 7.9 Passing Attempts per TD (63 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Iowa State opponents has averaged 7.9 Passing Attempts per TD (63 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (36 completions/87 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 55%
Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (21 completions/63 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 53%
Houston Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
Houston has allowed first downs on 75% of pass attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 24%
Houston has not forced a fumble (139 carries) this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.4
Houston has not forced a fumble (139 carries) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 52.7
Houston has allowed 6 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (320 completions/476 attempts) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 60%
Bet now on Houston vs Iowa St. and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether youโre a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!