Iowa St. vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 11, 2022, 2:40 PM
  • Iowa St. (4-5) are -1.5 point favorites vs Oklahoma State (6-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Iowa State Cyclones (4-7) visit Boone Pickens Stadium to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Stillwater.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Iowa St. vs. Oklahoma State is total points.

Bet now on Oklahoma State vs Iowa St. & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Iowa St. vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa St.
Oklahoma State

Iowa St. vs Oklahoma State Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 53.2% confidence.

Iowa St. vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 56.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Oklahoma State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Iowa St. Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa St. players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Dekkers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jirehl Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 36% ROI)

Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Iowa St. is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -12.94% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -57.79% ROI
  • Iowa St. is 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.73% ROI

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 11.7% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 18.64% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.57% ROI

Iowa St.: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .284

Iowa State is winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .301

Iowa State is 12-2 (.706) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Iowa State is 1-8 (.100) when throwing at least 1 interception — 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .308

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa St.

#11 Oklahoma State is undefeated (8-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

#11 Oklahoma State is undefeated (10-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for best in FBS; Average: .620

#11 Oklahoma State is 8-1 (.889) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .578

#11 Oklahoma State is 15-1 (.833) when scoring 22 or more points — 13th-best in FBS; Average: .625

Matchup Notes for Iowa St. vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among P5 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.9 receptions per game this season — second-best among P5 defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has been targeted 168 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among P5 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 5,530 receiving yards since the 2021 season — most among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has been targeted 168 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among P5 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 5,530 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fourth-most among P5 defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has 10 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among P5 TEs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 21 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State Skill Players have 72 receptions on 3rd down this season– most among FBS Teams

Iowa State TEs have picked up first downs on 19 receptions in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State TEs have picked up first downs on 19 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Iowa State WRs have averaged just 9.6 yards per reception (402 yards/42 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.9

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among P5 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.9 receptions per game this season — second-best among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/1) this season– tied for lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 5.3

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has allowed 15 rushing TDs on 695 carries (46.3 Carries Per TD) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24.1

Iowa State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 14 of 81 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Iowa State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 250 carries (62.5 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.1

Iowa State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 14 of 81 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 10%

Iowa State has allowed 194.7 Passing Yards per game (4,088/21) since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 240.1

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 19 rushing attempts (42% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 63 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 19 rushing attempts (42% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 63 rushing attempts (35% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Oklahoma State has allowed first downs on 29% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.