Iowa St. vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:49 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Iowa State Cyclones (3-4) visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns (5-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Austin.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Iowa St. vs. Texas is total points.

Bet now on Texas vs Iowa St. & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Iowa St. vs. Texas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Iowa St.
Texas

Iowa St. vs Texas Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 72.9% confidence.

Iowa St. vs Texas Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Iowa St. Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa St. players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Jirehl Brock has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Hunter Dekkers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Xavier Hutchinson has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Bijan Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Bijan Robinson has hit the Receptions Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 29% ROI)

Iowa St. Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)

Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.84 Units / 38% ROI)

Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)

Iowa State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)

Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 31% ROI)

Texas have covered the Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)

Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+3.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)

Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Iowa St. is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Iowa St. is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Iowa St. is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Texas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Texas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Texas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Iowa St.: Keys to the Game vs. Texas

Iowa State is 14-3 (.700) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2020 season– 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .534

Iowa State is 12-2 (.706) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

Iowa State is 10-4 (.588) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .426

Texas: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa St.

Texas is 1-7 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .355

Texas is 1-8 (.111) when losing at least one fumble since the 2020 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Matchup Notes for Iowa St. vs. Texas

Texas’s TEs has 23 receptions in 5 games (4.6 per game) this season — second-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Texas’s TEs has 23 receptions in 5 games (4.6 per game) this season — second-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.8 receptions per game this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Texas’s TEs has 54 receptions in 17 games (3.2 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 15.8 receptions per game since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State has gained 1,262 yards on 134 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) this season — second-worst among Power 5 skill players. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for second-best among P5 defenses.

Iowa State’s WRs has gained 989 yards on 98 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) this season — worst among Power 5 WRs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s TEs has gained 181 yards on 15 receptions (12.1 YPR) this season — third-best among Big 12 TEs. Texas’s defense has allowed just 8.8 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa St. Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Iowa State WRs have averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (226 yards/26 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.8

Texas Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Skill Players have averaged just 2.5 yards per reception (5 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Texas RBs have picked up first downs on 7 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.6

Iowa State has not recorded a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (4 completions/14 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Iowa State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 11 of 61 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 9%

Iowa State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 11 of 61 attempts (18%) on 3rd and long since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

Texas Longhorns Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (3,805 yards/352 completions) since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 12.7

Texas has allowed just 10.8 yards per completion (3,805 yards/352 completions) since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Texas has allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (46 completions/71 attempts) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Texas has allowed opponents to catch 72 of 100 passes (72% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 58%

Texas has allowed opponents to catch 351 of 524 passes (67% Reception Pct) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 61%

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