Iowa St. vs Utah Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

Utah quarterback Cameron Rising warms up before the Pac-12 Conference championship NCAA college football game against Southern California, Friday, Dec. 2, 2022, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Steve Marcus)
(AP Photo/Steve Marcus)
  • Iowa St. is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Utah
  • Iowa State vs. Utah Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: FOX

The Iowa State Cyclones (8-2) visit Rice-Eccles Stadium to take on the Utah Utes (4-6) on Nov. 23 in Salt Lake City, UT. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Iowa State vs. Utah Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Utah Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State-7.5 -11042.5 -115-300
Utah +7.5 -11042.5 -105+240

Iowa State vs Utah Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Utah, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Iowa State vs Utah Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Utah will cover the spread with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Utah has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Iowa State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Jaylon Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Carson Hansen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Benjamin Brahmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Utah players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Utah Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Brant Kuithe has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Micah Bernard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cameron Rising has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Micah Bernard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Isaac Wilson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Iowa St. is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.68% ROI).

  • Iowa State is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 1.41% ROI
  • Iowa State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Iowa State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Utah Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Utah is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.53% ROI).

  • Utah is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -21.84% ROI
  • Utah is 3-7 when betting the Over for -4.75 Units / -42.99% ROI
  • Utah is 7-3 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI

Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Utah

Iowa State is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .610

Iowa State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-22nd-worst in FBS; Average: .352

Iowa State is 1-5 (.167) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .394

Iowa State is 10-2 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .641

Utah: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State

Utah is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .614

Utah is 6-10 (.375) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-37th-worst in FBS; Average: .483

Utah is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .299

Utah is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. Utah

Utah’s TEs has gained 703 yards on 51 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 51 receptions in 10 games (5.1 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.2 receptions per game this season — best among P5 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 51 receptions in 10 games (5.1 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.2 receptions per game this season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s QBs has thrown for 2,677 passing yards in 10 games (267.7 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s QBs has thrown for 2,677 passing yards in 10 games (267.7 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 321 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.2 yards per reception (343 yards/17 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

Iowa State Skill Players have averaged 20.7 yards per reception (723 yards/35 catches) in short yardage situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.4

Iowa State’s QBs has thrown for 2,677 passing yards in 10 games (267.7 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Iowa State’s QBs has thrown for 2,677 passing yards in 10 games (267.7 YPG) this season — T-28th-best among FBS teams. Utah’s defense has allowed just 191.5 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among Big 12 defenses.

Iowa State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 321 attempts this season — T-22nd-best among FBS offenses. Utah’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.3% of attempts this season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Utah Offensive Stats & Trends

Utah TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Utah TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams

Utah TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Utah’s TEs has gained 703 yards on 51 receptions (13.8 YPR) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-3rd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Utah’s TEs has 51 receptions in 10 games (5.1 per game) this season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 14.2 receptions per game this season — best among P5 defenses.

Iowa State Cyclones Defensive Stats & Trends

Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (80 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.2

Iowa State allowed just 6.6 yards per completion (66 yards/10 completions) last week– best in the Big 12; Average: 11.4

Iowa State opponents has averaged 6.7 Passing Attempts per TD (80 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 3.9

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (38 completions/90 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%

Iowa State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (23 completions/60 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 55%

Utah Utes Defensive Stats & Trends

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 11%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 16 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 10%.

Utah has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 31 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Utah has allowed 311.5 yards from scrimmage per game since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 383.5


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