- Iowa Hawkeyes is a -14 point favorite vs. Iowa State Cyclones
- Iowa State vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- TV Channel: NBC | PEAC
Iowa State (1-0) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm.
The Iowa Hawkeyes are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -14 (-108).
The Iowa State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 40.5 total points.
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Iowa State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Iowa State | +14 -110 | 40.5 -108 | +475 |
| Iowa | -14 -108 | 40.5 -110 | -625 |
Iowa State vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Iowa State Cyclones and the Iowa Hawkeyes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Iowa State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Iowa State Best Bets Today
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets Today
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa State Cyclones is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Iowa State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.08% ROI
- Iowa State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa Hawkeyes is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Iowa is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Iowa is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Iowa State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Iowa State was 9-3 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .481
Iowa State was 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: .429
Iowa State was 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .575
Iowa State was 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .668
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa State
Iowa was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578
Iowa was 5-1 (.833) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659
Iowa was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– T-15th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .647
Iowa was 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .382
Matchup Notes for Iowa State vs. Iowa
Iowa’s RBs averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch last season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. Iowa State’s defense allowed just 3.8 RAC to RBs last season — best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs had just 82.6 receiving yards per game last season — worst among Big Ten WRs. Iowa State’s defense allowed 175.9 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs had just 82.6 receiving yards per game last season — 6th-worst among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense allowed 175.9 receiving yards per game to WRs last season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs gained 922 yards on 76 receptions (12.1 YPR) last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs had 76 receptions in 12 games (6.3 per game) last season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs had 76 receptions in 12 games (6.3 per game) last season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State threw one TD on 100 pass attempts in the 4th quarter last season– 6th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
Iowa State’s TEs gained 922 yards on 76 receptions (12.1 YPR) last season — T-5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs had 76 receptions in 12 games (6.3 per game) last season — best among Big 12 TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State’s TEs had 76 receptions in 12 games (6.3 per game) last season — 2nd-best among FBS TEs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 16.5 receptions per game last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa State’s WRs gained 1,562 yards on 106 receptions (14.7 YPR) last season — best among Big 12 WRs. Iowa’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa Skill Players averaged just 13.8 receptions per game (179/13) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.7
Iowa Skill Players were targeted 19.6 times per game (255/13) last season– lowest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 29.7
Iowa WRs averaged just 7.8 yards per reception (93 yards/12 catches) on 3rd and long last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6
Iowa RBs averaged 21.2 yards per reception (127 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.1
Iowa Skill Players had no touchdowns on 22 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8
Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa State allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (21 completions/51 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 61%
Iowa State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 16.2
Iowa State did not record a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 18.9
Iowa State allowed a Completion Pct of just 35% (12 completions/34 attempts) in close and late situations last season– best in the Big 12; Average: 58%
Iowa State allowed a Completion Pct of just 53% (196 completions/373 attempts) last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 61%
Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.3
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 26
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 406 carries (101.5 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 25.5
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8
Iowa allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 5
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