Jacksonville St vs Sam Houston St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Jacksonville St is a -7 point favorite vs. Sam Houston St
  • Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston State Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Jacksonville State (2-3) visit Shell Energy Stadium to take on Sam Houston State (0-5) on Oct. 9 in Houston, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Jacksonville St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston State Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jacksonville State-7 -11554.5 -105-300
Sam Houston State +7 -10554.5 -115240

Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Jacksonville State will win this game with 73.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville St and Sam Houston St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Jacksonville State vs Sam Houston State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Jacksonville State will cover the spread with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jacksonville State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Jacksonville St is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Jacksonville State is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -26.25% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Jacksonville State is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sam Houston St iss against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Jacksonville State: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State

Jacksonville State was 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Jacksonville State is 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Jacksonville State

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Matchup Notes for Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston State

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Jacksonville State was 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Jacksonville State is 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Jacksonville State Offensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State was 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Jacksonville State is 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643

Jacksonville State Defensive Stats & Trends

Jacksonville State was 3-5 (.375) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .481

Jacksonville State was 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Jacksonville State is 2-7 (.222) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2024 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .392

Jacksonville State was 7-3 (.700) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– 7th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .388

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .668

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Sam Houston was 7-2 (.778) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Sam Houston was undefeated (9-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass last season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .643


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