James Madison vs Arkansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:31 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The James Madison Dukes (5-1) visit Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-5) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Jonesboro.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for James Madison vs. Arkansas State is total points.

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James Madison vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
James Madison
Arkansas State

James Madison vs Arkansas State Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 63.7% confidence.

James Madison vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Arkansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • James Madison is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • James Madison is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • James Madison is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arkansas State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas State: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

Arkansas State is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .402

Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Arkansas State

Arkansas State’s backfield has been targeted 119 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS backfields. James Madison’s defense has allowed 140 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fewest among FBS defenses.

Arkansas State’s backfield has 91 receptions since the 2021 season — fourth-most among FBS backfields. James Madison’s defense has allowed 3 receptions to RBs since the 2021 season — fewest among FBS defenses.

Arkansas State’s backfield has been targeted 119 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS backfields. James Madison’s defense has allowed 28 yards receiving to RBs — fewest among FBS defenses.

James Madison’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 20.0% of 25 attempts this season — tied for second-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 16.0% of attempts this season — tied for second-best among NonP5 defenses.

James Madison has gained 257 yards on 15 receptions (17.1 YPR) this season — fourth-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 17.0 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison has gained 257 yards on 15 receptions (17.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS skill players. Arkansas State’s defense has allowed 14.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison Skill Players have averaged 23.5 yards per reception (47 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

James Madison RBs have averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (17 yards/7 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

James Madison Skill Players have been targeted 24 times since last season– fewest among FBS Teams

James Madison RBs have averaged 1.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (4 yards / 3 touches) in close and late situations since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

James Madison WRs have no touchdowns on 9 receptions since last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.8

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State TEs have 125 receiving yards on 3rd down this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have been targeted 42 times on 3rd down since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have been targeted 11 times in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have 9 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Arkansas State RBs have picked up first downs on 5 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison has allowed a passer rating of just 89.1 (27.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 136.8

James Madison has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 2 rushing attempts in the Red Zone since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

James Madison has allowed a passer rating of just 89.1 (27.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 132.9

James Madison has allowed a passer rating of 286.4 in the Red Zone (2.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 170.5

James Madison has allowed a passer rating of just 0.0 in close and late situations (0.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 126.2

Arkansas State Red Wolves Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 94 attempts (10%) this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3%

Arkansas State has allowed 18.3 yards per completion (986 yards/54 completions) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 12.4

Arkansas State has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 94 attempts (10%) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 2%

Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 16.0

Arkansas State has not recorded a sack (42 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 15.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.