- North Carolina is a -10.5 point favorite vs. James Madison
- James Madison vs. North Carolina Total(Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: ACCN
The James Madison Dukes (2-0) visit Kenan Stadium to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) on Sep. 21 in Chapel Hill, NC. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
North Carolina is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The James Madison vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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James Madison vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| James Madison | +10.5 -110 | 47.5 -105 | +310 |
| North Carolina | -10.5 -110 | 47.5 -115 | -400 |
James Madison vs North Carolina Prediction:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 76.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and North Carolina, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
James Madison vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record
James Madison is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- James Madison is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 37.04% ROI
- James Madison is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
- James Madison is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
North Carolina Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Carolina is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -51.11% ROI).
- North Carolina is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.53% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- North Carolina is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. North Carolina
James Madison is undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .419
James Madison is undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best in FBS; Average: .524
James Madison is 8-1 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .343
James Madison is 8-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .382
North Carolina: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .370
North Carolina is 6-1 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .441
North Carolina is 6-3 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .497
North Carolina is 8-4 (.615) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .480
Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. North Carolina
North Carolina has gained 509 yards on 47 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has gained 1,214 yards on 88 receptions (13.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison has gained 354 yards on 24 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
James Madison’s WRs has gained 208 yards on 12 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
James Madison has gained 354 yards on 24 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has gained 354 yards on 24 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
James Madison’s WRs has gained 208 yards on 12 receptions (17.3 YPR) this season — 13th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
James Madison has gained 354 yards on 24 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among ACC defenses.
James Madison has gained 354 yards on 24 receptions (14.8 YPR) this season — T-19th-best among FBS skill players. North Carolina’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 10th-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina’s defense has allowed just 6.6 RAC to RBs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has gained 509 yards on 47 receptions (just 10.8 YPR) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 23rd-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s TEs has gained 1,214 yards on 88 receptions (13.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among ACC TEs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 9.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-34th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s RBs has averaged just 6.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS RBs. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 10.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
North Carolina’s QBs has thrown for 4,390 passing yards in 16 games (274.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 24th-best among FBS teams. James Madison’s defense has allowed 240.1 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-34th-worst among FBS defenses.
North Carolina RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams
James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 45 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2022 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 31 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 192 of 803 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
James Madison has not allowed any rushing touchdowns on 66 rushes this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 21.7
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 192 of 803 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Carolina Tar Heels Defensive Stats & Trends
North Carolina has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 3 of 97 carries (3%) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 12%
North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 123 of 1,049 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since the 2022 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
North Carolina has allowed 14.5 yards per completion (565 yards/39 completions) this season– 10th-worst in FBS; Average: 11.3
North Carolina has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 73 attempts (18%) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%
North Carolina has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 43 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 15th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
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