James Madison vs Old Dominion Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 4

Old Dominion coach Ricky Rahne reacts after being doused, next to defensive tackle Denzel Lowry (45) after the team's win over Virginia Tech in an NCAA college football game Friday, Sept. 2, 2022, in Norfolk, Va. (AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
(AP Photo/Mike Caudill)
Odds Boost This Weekend
  • The James Madison Dukes are a -6 point favorite vs. the Old Dominion Monarchs
  • James Madison vs. Old Dominion Total (Over/Under): 45.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPN+

James Madison (3-0) visit Kornblau Field at S.B. Ballard Stadium to take on Old Dominion (1-2) on Sep. 26 in Norfolk, VA. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 pm.

The James Madison Dukes are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The James Madison vs. Old Dominion Over/Under is 45.5 total points.

Bet now on Old Dominion Monarchs vs James Madison Dukes & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

James Madison vs. Old Dominion Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
James Madison-6 -11045.5 -118-225
Old Dominion +6 -10845.5 -102+188

James Madison vs Old Dominion Prediction:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 55.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the James Madison Dukes and the Old Dominion Monarchs, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

James Madison vs Old Dominion Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Old Dominion Monarchs vs James Madison Dukes and all games with BetMGM


  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games (+11.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • James Madison have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.15 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)

James Madison Against the Spread (ATS) Record

James Madison Dukes is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • James Madison is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 68.25% ROI
  • James Madison is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • James Madison is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion Monarchs is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.37 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.22 Units / -36.75% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.44% ROI

James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

James Madison is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .386

James Madison is 5-1 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .404

James Madison is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .560

James Madison was 7-1 (.875) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .470

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison

Old Dominion is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Old Dominion is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes this season– T-10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .553

Old Dominion is 10-1 (.909) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .545

Old Dominion is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-4th-best in FBS; Average: .615

Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Old Dominion

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion has 220 receptions in 16 games (just 13.8 per game) since the 2024 season — 11th-worst among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed just 15.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 7th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion’s WRs has averaged 15.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 6th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 14.0 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-14th-worst among FBS defenses.

James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison gained 2,956 yards on 225 receptions (13.1 YPR) last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends

James Madison RBs have averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 100 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

James Madison RBs have averaged 8.2 Yards per Carry (742 yards/91 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 12.0 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.

James Madison RBs averaged 8.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (863 yards / 100 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

James Madison’s WRs gained 2,117 yards on 142 receptions (14.9 YPR) last season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. Old Dominion’s defense allowed just 10.1 Yards Per Reception last season — T-7th-best among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion have gained 40+ yards on 14 of their 191 receptions (7%) this season– 8th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%

Old Dominion Skill Players have averaged 14.8 yards per reception (2,808 yards/190 catches) this season– 7th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Old Dominion have thrown one TD on 62 pass attempts in the 4th quarter this season– 12th-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9

Old Dominion’s WRs gained 2,368 yards on 148 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-12th-worst among FBS defenses.

Old Dominion TEs had no touchdowns on 9 receptions in the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 9.2

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends

James Madison has allowed 86.4 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 149.5

James Madison has allowed 266.6 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 383.0

James Madison did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

James Madison did not record a sack (38 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16.4

James Madison has allowed just 2.8 Yards per Carry (1,191 yards/426 carries) this season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.4

Old Dominion Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 32 rushing attempts (6% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Old Dominion has allowed just 10.1 yards per completion (2,489 yards/247 completions) this season– T-7th-best in FBS; Average: 11.5

Old Dominion allowed 12 rushing TDs on 103 carries (8.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.5

Old Dominion has allowed 5.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (4,329 yards / 743 touches) this season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6.9

Old Dominion has tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 43 rushing attempts (16% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: 11%.


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