- Troy is a -3 point favorite vs. James Madison
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The James Madison Dukes visit Veterans Memorial Stadium to take on the Troy Trojans on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Troy.
Troy is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The James Madison vs. Troy Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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James Madison vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| James Madison | +2.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +115 |
| Troy | -2.5 -110 | 46.5 -110 | -140 |
James Madison vs Troy Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts James Madison will win this game with 52.5% confidence.
James Madison vs Troy Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts James Madison will cover the spread with 73.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both James Madison and Troy, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Troy Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Troy has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Troy Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Troy is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Troy is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Troy is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Troy is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
James Madison: Keys to the Game vs. Troy
James Madison is winless (0-2) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .396
James Madison is winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .446
James Madison is 4-2 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .421
James Madison is winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
Troy: Keys to the Game vs. James Madison
Troy is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .562
Troy was 8-1 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .513
Troy was 7-2 (.778) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season– tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .448
Troy was 6-2 (.750) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .414
Matchup Notes for James Madison vs. Troy
Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 461 attempts since the 2022 season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s WRs has gained 3,181 yards on 217 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy has gained 3,802 yards on 287 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison has gained 3,326 yards on 234 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s WRs has gained 2,493 yards on 157 receptions (15.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 384 attempts since the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts since the 2022 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has gained 3,326 yards on 234 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for seventh-best among FBS skill players. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (871 yards/52 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2021 season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
James Madison’s WRs has gained 2,493 yards on 157 receptions (15.9 YPR) since the 2022 season — 10th-best among FBS WRs. Troy’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.
James Madison WRs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (431 yards/19 catches) in close and late situations since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
James Madison’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.4% of 384 attempts since the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS offenses. Troy’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.6% of attempts since the 2022 season — worst among NonP5 defenses.
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends
Troy RBs have averaged 343.0 rushing yards per game (343/1) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 130.9
Troy’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 13.2% of 461 attempts since the 2022 season — 18th-best among FBS offenses. James Madison’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.0% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.
Troy’s WRs has gained 3,181 yards on 217 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. James Madison’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
Troy Skill Players have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams
Troy has gained 3,802 yards on 287 receptions (13.2 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS skill players. James Madison’s defense has allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.
James Madison Dukes Defensive Stats & Trends
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 37 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
James Madison has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (39/312) since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 7%
James Madison has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
James Madison has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (39/312) since the 2021 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%
Troy Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends
Troy allowed 10 touchdowns on 227 completions (22.7 Completions Per TD) in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7
Troy has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 36 of 543 attempts (7%) since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 10%
Troy opponents averaged 37.7 Passing Attempts per TD (377 Pass Attempts/10 Passing TDs) in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3
Troy has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 28 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Troy allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 52 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%
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