Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

• The Kansas Jayhawks are a +6 point favorite vs. the Arizona State Sun Devils
• Kansas vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

Kansas (1-1) visit Wembley Stadium to take on Arizona State (1-1) on Sep. 19 in London, England. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Kansas Jayhawks are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at +6 (-108).

The Kansas vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Kansas vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Kansas Jayhawks and the Arizona State Sun Devils, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Kansas vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Kansas Best Bets Today

• Kansas has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.95 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
• Kansas have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.45 Units / 5% ROI)

Arizona State Best Bets Today

• Arizona State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.00 Units / 11% ROI)
• Arizona State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• Arizona State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas Jayhawks is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Kansas is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• Kansas is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 45.45% ROI
• Kansas is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -50% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona State Sun Devils is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Arizona State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• Arizona State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
• Arizona State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

Kansas was 1-6 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-21st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Kansas was 3-7 (.300) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Kansas was 4-1 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Kansas was 2-6 (.250) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-13th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .443

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Arizona State was 8-2 (.800) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .468

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– 6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Arizona State was 10-1 (.909) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-10th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Arizona State was 10-4 (.714) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times last season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .575

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Arizona State

Arizona State’s RBs rushed for 1,707 yards on 301 carries (5.7 YPC) last season — T-20th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense allowed 5.4 YPC to RBs last season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s RBs had 34.5 receiving yards per game last season — T-29th-best among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense allowed just 18.0 receiving yards per game to RBs last season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs has averaged 13.9 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-35th-best among FBS WRs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 13.4 RAC to WRs since the 2024 season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s TEs had 9 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-most among P5 TEs. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20 receiving touchdowns last season — T-4th-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.7

Kansas Skill Players averaged 31.5 yards per reception (189 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and short last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.2

Kansas’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 13.1% of 344 attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.4% of attempts last season — T-15th-best among FBS defenses.

Kansas Skill Players averaged 14.2 yards per reception (2,505 yards/176 catches) last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 12.3

Kansas TEs had 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations last season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State WRs averaged 25.9 yards per reception (285 yards/11 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.6

Arizona State WRs averaged 25.9 yards per reception (285 yards/11 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big 12 Teams; Average: 15.7

Arizona State RBs averaged 7.1 Yards per Carry (529 yards/74 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Arizona State Skill Players averaged 22.4 yards per reception (157 yards/7 catches) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Arizona State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 7.5 receptions (15 Rec/2 TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Kansas Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (9 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 62%

Kansas had no interceptions and 10 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6.4

Kansas allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (9 completions/9 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 63%

Kansas defense allowed 6 completions for 20 or more yards last week– most in the Big 12

Kansas allowed passes of 20+ yards on 6 of 30 attempts (20%) last week– worst in the Big 12; Average: 7%

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Arizona State intercepted 5 of 419 attempts (83.8 pass attempts per int.) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 36.5

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 7 of 21 carries (33%) on 3rd and long last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 19%

Arizona State allowed 6 TD passes in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most among Power Conference Teams

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