Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Liberty Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 11:10 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Kansas Jayhawks (6-7) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (7-6) on Dec. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Memphis.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Kansas vs. Arkansas Over/Under is total points.

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Kansas vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas
Arkansas

Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this game with 60.6% confidence.

Kansas vs Arkansas Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Arkansas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Bean has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jalon Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Arkansas Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jadon Haselwood has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • KJ Jefferson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Landers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Raheim Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Kansas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Kansas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Kansas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arkansas is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arkansas is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas

Kansas is 1-14 (.059) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .384

Kansas is 1-12 (.071) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496

Kansas is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452

Kansas is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .445

Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

Arkansas is 7-2 (.583) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

Arkansas is 9-3 (.750) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .511

Arkansas is 1-2 (.250) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Arkansas

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas RBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 16.9 yards per reception (542 yards/32 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.6

Kansas RBs have picked up first downs on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 14.6 yards per reception (1,327 yards/91 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.9

Kansas Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Arkansas Skill Players have averaged 15.5 yards per reception (963 yards/62 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Arkansas TEs have 4 receptions for 20 or more yards in close and late situations since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Arkansas TEs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Arkansas RBs have picked up first downs on 9 receptions on 3rd down this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 100 of 972 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Kansas has allowed 115 TDs since last season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 3.2

Kansas has allowed 55 rushing TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

Kansas has allowed 55 rushing TDs in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Kansas has allowed 70 rushing TDs since last season– 2nd most in FBS

Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends

Arkansas has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 10 of 25 carries (40%) on 3rd and long this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%

Arkansas has allowed 14.8 yards per completion (3,344 yards/226 completions) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.3

Arkansas has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 10 of 25 carries (40%) on 3rd and long this season– worst in FBS; Average: 18%

Arkansas has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 52 of 372 attempts (14%) this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10%

Arkansas defense has allowed 52 completions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd fewest in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.