Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Kansas State (8-3) are -12 point favorites vs Kansas (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points

The Kansas Jayhawks (6-5) visit Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (8-3) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Manhattan.

Kansas State are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -12 (-110).

The Kansas vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Kansas vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kansas+12 -11062.5 -110+340
Kansas State -12 -11062.5 -110-450

Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 67.5% confidence.

Kansas vs Kansas State Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 50.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Kansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jason Bean has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Lawrence Arnold has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Luke Grimm has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jason Bean has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Adrian Martinez has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Deuce Vaughn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Malik Knowles has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+15.05 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Kansas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)

Kansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Kansas is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 43.27% ROI
  • Kansas is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Kansas is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kansas State has gone 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.65 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Kansas State is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 13.01% ROI
  • Kansas State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Kansas State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Kansas: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State

Kansas is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .443

Kansas is winless (0-6) when intercepting no passes since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .338

Kansas is 1-11 (.083) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Kansas is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas

#15 Kansas State is 8-4 (.667) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#15 Kansas State is 9-2 (.818) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

#15 Kansas State is 6-5 (.545) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410

#15 Kansas State is 12-3 (.667) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458

Matchup Notes for Kansas vs. Kansas State

Kansas State’s RBs has been targeted 85 times this season — fifth-most among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 2,552 receiving yards this season — third-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s RBs has been targeted 164 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 5,394 receiving yards since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State’s RBs has 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among FBS RBs. Kansas’s defense has allowed 43 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fifth-most among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has given up7 sacks this season — tied for fourth-fewest among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has sacked the quarterback 25 times this season — tied for most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas’s offense has given up22 sacks since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among FBS offenses. Kansas State’s defense has sacked the quarterback 55 times since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas Offensive Stats & Trends

Kansas RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Kansas RBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

Kansas Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in close and late situations this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Kansas Skill Players have averaged 17.1 yards per reception (530 yards/31 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Kansas’s TEs has 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fifth-most among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends

#15 Kansas State RBs have 10 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#15 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (841 yards/50 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

#15 Kansas State Skill Players have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (841 yards/50 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

#15 Kansas State WRs have averaged 18.0 yards per reception (629 yards/35 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

#15 Kansas State RBs have caught 4 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — tied for most among FBS Teams

Kansas Jayhawks Defensive Stats & Trends

Kansas has allowed 51 rushing TDs in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams

Kansas has allowed 109 TDs since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.0

Kansas has allowed 74 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Kansas has allowed 74 TDs in the Red Zone since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 2.1

Kansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 95 of 930 rushing attempts (10% TFL%) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

#15 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 52 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9%

#15 Kansas State has averaged 1.50 interceptions per game (15/10) this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 0.83

#15 Kansas State has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 52 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 10%

#15 Kansas State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 15% of PATs this season– tied for 4th highest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#15 Kansas State has intercepted 15 of 331 attempts (22.1 pass attempts per int.) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.